Russia's massive drone and missile barrages across Ukraine on April 1-3, totaling over 700 drones and described by President Zelenskiy as an "Easter escalation," directly rejected Kyiv's recent proposal for a temporary energy truce relayed via the U.S., solidifying trader consensus at 93.5% against a full peace deal by June 30. Moscow's ongoing infrastructure buildup in occupied territories signals no intent to cede land, while intensified airstrikes and ground offensives underscore persistent military momentum absent any substantive negotiations. With no diplomatic breakthroughs or de-escalation in the past 30 days—despite occasional feelers—the market reflects skepticism toward rapid resolution amid entrenched positions and active conflict dynamics.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоДа
$70,538 Объем
$70,538 Объем
30 июн. 2026 г.
Да
$70,538 Объем
$70,538 Объем
30 июн. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. Russia's massive drone and missile barrages across Ukraine on April 1-3, totaling over 700 drones and described by President Zelenskiy as an "Easter escalation," directly rejected Kyiv's recent proposal for a temporary energy truce relayed via the U.S., solidifying trader consensus at 93.5% against a full peace deal by June 30. Moscow's ongoing infrastructure buildup in occupied territories signals no intent to cede land, while intensified airstrikes and ground offensives underscore persistent military momentum absent any substantive negotiations. With no diplomatic breakthroughs or de-escalation in the past 30 days—despite occasional feelers—the market reflects skepticism toward rapid resolution amid entrenched positions and active conflict dynamics.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Dec 17, 2025, 5:37 PM ET
Объем
$70,538Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 17, 2025, 5:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. Russia's massive drone and missile barrages across Ukraine on April 1-3, totaling over 700 drones and described by President Zelenskiy as an "Easter escalation," directly rejected Kyiv's recent proposal for a temporary energy truce relayed via the U.S., solidifying trader consensus at 93.5% against a full peace deal by June 30. Moscow's ongoing infrastructure buildup in occupied territories signals no intent to cede land, while intensified airstrikes and ground offensives underscore persistent military momentum absent any substantive negotiations. With no diplomatic breakthroughs or de-escalation in the past 30 days—despite occasional feelers—the market reflects skepticism toward rapid resolution amid entrenched positions and active conflict dynamics.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$70,538Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 17, 2025, 5:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Russia's massive drone and missile barrages across Ukraine on April 1-3, totaling over 700 drones and described by President Zelenskiy as an "Easter escalation," directly rejected Kyiv's recent proposal for a temporary energy truce relayed via the U.S., solidifying trader consensus at 93.5% against a full peace deal by June 30. Moscow's ongoing infrastructure buildup in occupied territories signals no intent to cede land, while intensified airstrikes and ground offensives underscore persistent military momentum absent any substantive negotiations. With no diplomatic breakthroughs or de-escalation in the past 30 days—despite occasional feelers—the market reflects skepticism toward rapid resolution amid entrenched positions and active conflict dynamics.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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