Trilateral Ukraine-Russia-US peace talks stalled in mid-March amid Russia's spring offensive and the Iran conflict diverting US attention and aid resources, with Moscow demanding Ukrainian cessions in Donbas that Kyiv firmly rejects. Recent POW swaps and Zelenskiy's outreach to Saudi Arabia for support highlight diplomatic maneuvering without breakthroughs, as both sides report frontline gains signaling escalation over de-escalation. No new negotiation rounds are scheduled before June 30, and historical impasses on security guarantees reinforce trader consensus implying just a 7.5% chance of a signed deal, prioritizing entrenched territorial disputes and military momentum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоДа
$70,248 Объем
$70,248 Объем
Да
$70,248 Объем
$70,248 Объем
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Dec 17, 2025, 5:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trilateral Ukraine-Russia-US peace talks stalled in mid-March amid Russia's spring offensive and the Iran conflict diverting US attention and aid resources, with Moscow demanding Ukrainian cessions in Donbas that Kyiv firmly rejects. Recent POW swaps and Zelenskiy's outreach to Saudi Arabia for support highlight diplomatic maneuvering without breakthroughs, as both sides report frontline gains signaling escalation over de-escalation. No new negotiation rounds are scheduled before June 30, and historical impasses on security guarantees reinforce trader consensus implying just a 7.5% chance of a signed deal, prioritizing entrenched territorial disputes and military momentum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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