**Trader consensus prices "No" at 89.5% for US takeover of the Panama Canal before 2027, reflecting entrenched legal barriers under the 1977 Torrijos-Carter Treaties that granted Panama permanent sovereignty and operational control since 1999, with US rights limited to ensuring perpetual neutrality.** Early 2025 rhetoric from President Trump highlighted excessive tolls and Chinese port influence via Hong Kong-based CK Hutchison at Balboa and Cristobal, prompting Pentagon reviews of options but no military action. De-escalation followed: Panama's January 2026 presidential statement declaring the crisis resolved, and February Supreme Court ruling ousting the operator for local control, welcomed by the White House as advancing US interests diplomatically. Ongoing joint exercises like PANAMAX-Alpha bolster security cooperation without seizure signals, underscoring diplomatic paths over intervention amid geopolitical risks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
$63,550 Объем
$63,550 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
$63,550 Объем
$63,550 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Panama Canal comes under US control by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, US control means the United States assumes primary operational authority over the canal, either via diplomatic agreement, military action, or any other means.
An official announcement made by the United States and Panama that the Panama Canal will come under US control will qualify, even if the actual transfer of control is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government and the Government of Panama, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that the Panama Canal has come under US sovereignty will also qualify.**Trader consensus prices "No" at 89.5% for US takeover of the Panama Canal before 2027, reflecting entrenched legal barriers under the 1977 Torrijos-Carter Treaties that granted Panama permanent sovereignty and operational control since 1999, with US rights limited to ensuring perpetual neutrality.** Early 2025 rhetoric from President Trump highlighted excessive tolls and Chinese port influence via Hong Kong-based CK Hutchison at Balboa and Cristobal, prompting Pentagon reviews of options but no military action. De-escalation followed: Panama's January 2026 presidential statement declaring the crisis resolved, and February Supreme Court ruling ousting the operator for local control, welcomed by the White House as advancing US interests diplomatically. Ongoing joint exercises like PANAMAX-Alpha bolster security cooperation without seizure signals, underscoring diplomatic paths over intervention amid geopolitical risks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Panama Canal comes under US control by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, US control means the United States assumes primary operational authority over the canal, either via diplomatic agreement, military action, or any other means.
An official announcement made by the United States and Panama that the Panama Canal will come under US control will qualify, even if the actual transfer of control is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government and the Government of Panama, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that the Panama Canal has come under US sovereignty will also qualify.
For the purposes of this market, US control means the United States assumes primary operational authority over the canal, either via diplomatic agreement, military action, or any other means.
An official announcement made by the United States and Panama that the Panama Canal will come under US control will qualify, even if the actual transfer of control is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government and the Government of Panama, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that the Panama Canal has come under US sovereignty will also qualify.
Открытие рынка: Nov 13, 2025, 4:44 PM ET
Объем
$63,550Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 13, 2025, 4:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Panama Canal comes under US control by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, US control means the United States assumes primary operational authority over the canal, either via diplomatic agreement, military action, or any other means.
An official announcement made by the United States and Panama that the Panama Canal will come under US control will qualify, even if the actual transfer of control is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government and the Government of Panama, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that the Panama Canal has come under US sovereignty will also qualify.**Trader consensus prices "No" at 89.5% for US takeover of the Panama Canal before 2027, reflecting entrenched legal barriers under the 1977 Torrijos-Carter Treaties that granted Panama permanent sovereignty and operational control since 1999, with US rights limited to ensuring perpetual neutrality.** Early 2025 rhetoric from President Trump highlighted excessive tolls and Chinese port influence via Hong Kong-based CK Hutchison at Balboa and Cristobal, prompting Pentagon reviews of options but no military action. De-escalation followed: Panama's January 2026 presidential statement declaring the crisis resolved, and February Supreme Court ruling ousting the operator for local control, welcomed by the White House as advancing US interests diplomatically. Ongoing joint exercises like PANAMAX-Alpha bolster security cooperation without seizure signals, underscoring diplomatic paths over intervention amid geopolitical risks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Panama Canal comes under US control by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, US control means the United States assumes primary operational authority over the canal, either via diplomatic agreement, military action, or any other means.
An official announcement made by the United States and Panama that the Panama Canal will come under US control will qualify, even if the actual transfer of control is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government and the Government of Panama, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that the Panama Canal has come under US sovereignty will also qualify.
For the purposes of this market, US control means the United States assumes primary operational authority over the canal, either via diplomatic agreement, military action, or any other means.
An official announcement made by the United States and Panama that the Panama Canal will come under US control will qualify, even if the actual transfer of control is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government and the Government of Panama, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that the Panama Canal has come under US sovereignty will also qualify.
Объем
$63,550Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 13, 2025, 4:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Trader consensus prices "No" at 89.5% for US takeover of the Panama Canal before 2027, reflecting entrenched legal barriers under the 1977 Torrijos-Carter Treaties that granted Panama permanent sovereignty and operational control since 1999, with US rights limited to ensuring perpetual neutrality.** Early 2025 rhetoric from President Trump highlighted excessive tolls and Chinese port influence via Hong Kong-based CK Hutchison at Balboa and Cristobal, prompting Pentagon reviews of options but no military action. De-escalation followed: Panama's January 2026 presidential statement declaring the crisis resolved, and February Supreme Court ruling ousting the operator for local control, welcomed by the White House as advancing US interests diplomatically. Ongoing joint exercises like PANAMAX-Alpha bolster security cooperation without seizure signals, underscoring diplomatic paths over intervention amid geopolitical risks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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