Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability on Elon Musk posting 65-89 times on X from April 16-18, 2026, driven by his consistently moderate daily output of 25-35 posts, including a confirmed 32 on April 17 amid no major controversies or announcements sparking higher volume. Real-time trackers and prior weekly markets resolving around 35 tweets per day underscore this steady rhythm, with two days complete and April 18's early activity showing no surge, cementing the frontrunner as the period winds down. While unpredictable viral moments define celebrity social media trajectories, an upset hinges on a rare tweeting marathon—say, 40+ posts today from breaking Tesla/SpaceX news—though recent patterns and the "wisdom of crowds" pricing in real capital deem this highly unlikely.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено65-89 100.0%
Менее 40 <1%
40-64 <1%
90-114 <1%
$1,758,532 Объем
$1,758,532 Объем
18 апр. 2026 г.
Менее 40
Нет
40-64
Нет
65-89
Да
90-114
Нет
115-139
Нет
140-164
Нет
165-189
Нет
190-214
Нет
215-239
Нет
240+
Нет
65-89 100.0%
Менее 40 <1%
40-64 <1%
90-114 <1%
$1,758,532 Объем
$1,758,532 Объем
18 апр. 2026 г.
Менее 40
$219,309 Объем
Нет
40-64
$227,964 Объем
Нет
65-89
$299,100 Объем
Да
90-114
$368,062 Объем
Нет
115-139
$267,777 Объем
Нет
140-164
$139,452 Объем
Нет
165-189
$68,265 Объем
Нет
190-214
$77,479 Объем
Нет
215-239
$35,132 Объем
Нет
240+
$55,992 Объем
Нет
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 16 12:00 PM ET to April 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability on Elon Musk posting 65-89 times on X from April 16-18, 2026, driven by his consistently moderate daily output of 25-35 posts, including a confirmed 32 on April 17 amid no major controversies or announcements sparking higher volume. Real-time trackers and prior weekly markets resolving around 35 tweets per day underscore this steady rhythm, with two days complete and April 18's early activity showing no surge, cementing the frontrunner as the period winds down. While unpredictable viral moments define celebrity social media trajectories, an upset hinges on a rare tweeting marathon—say, 40+ posts today from breaking Tesla/SpaceX news—though recent patterns and the "wisdom of crowds" pricing in real capital deem this highly unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 16 12:00 PM ET to April 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Открытие рынка: Apr 13, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Объем
$1,758,532Дата окончания
18 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 13, 2026, 12:01 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 16 12:00 PM ET to April 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability on Elon Musk posting 65-89 times on X from April 16-18, 2026, driven by his consistently moderate daily output of 25-35 posts, including a confirmed 32 on April 17 amid no major controversies or announcements sparking higher volume. Real-time trackers and prior weekly markets resolving around 35 tweets per day underscore this steady rhythm, with two days complete and April 18's early activity showing no surge, cementing the frontrunner as the period winds down. While unpredictable viral moments define celebrity social media trajectories, an upset hinges on a rare tweeting marathon—say, 40+ posts today from breaking Tesla/SpaceX news—though recent patterns and the "wisdom of crowds" pricing in real capital deem this highly unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 16 12:00 PM ET to April 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Объем
$1,758,532Дата окончания
18 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 13, 2026, 12:01 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability on Elon Musk posting 65-89 times on X from April 16-18, 2026, driven by his consistently moderate daily output of 25-35 posts, including a confirmed 32 on April 17 amid no major controversies or announcements sparking higher volume. Real-time trackers and prior weekly markets resolving around 35 tweets per day underscore this steady rhythm, with two days complete and April 18's early activity showing no surge, cementing the frontrunner as the period winds down. While unpredictable viral moments define celebrity social media trajectories, an upset hinges on a rare tweeting marathon—say, 40+ posts today from breaking Tesla/SpaceX news—though recent patterns and the "wisdom of crowds" pricing in real capital deem this highly unlikely.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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