Ongoing Oman-mediated negotiations between the US and Iran, including multiple 2026 rounds on uranium enrichment limits, stockpiles, verification, and sanctions relief, have sustained diplomatic momentum despite earlier military strikes and the February 2026 escalation. The April 2026 temporary ceasefire, later extended indefinitely, created space for further talks on a potential memorandum of understanding covering nuclear restraints in exchange for eased sanctions and regional de-escalation measures like reopening the Strait of Hormuz. Iran's domestic economic pressures and reported progress toward framework agreements have reinforced trader views that a deal remains achievable by end-2026, though core gaps on enrichment rights and verification persist as key variables.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
$2,140,729 Объем
$2,140,729 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
$2,140,729 Объем
$2,140,729 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Ongoing Oman-mediated negotiations between the US and Iran, including multiple 2026 rounds on uranium enrichment limits, stockpiles, verification, and sanctions relief, have sustained diplomatic momentum despite earlier military strikes and the February 2026 escalation. The April 2026 temporary ceasefire, later extended indefinitely, created space for further talks on a potential memorandum of understanding covering nuclear restraints in exchange for eased sanctions and regional de-escalation measures like reopening the Strait of Hormuz. Iran's domestic economic pressures and reported progress toward framework agreements have reinforced trader views that a deal remains achievable by end-2026, though core gaps on enrichment rights and verification persist as key variables.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Открытие рынка: Nov 5, 2025, 11:47 AM ET
Объем
$2,140,729Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 5, 2025, 11:47 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Ongoing Oman-mediated negotiations between the US and Iran, including multiple 2026 rounds on uranium enrichment limits, stockpiles, verification, and sanctions relief, have sustained diplomatic momentum despite earlier military strikes and the February 2026 escalation. The April 2026 temporary ceasefire, later extended indefinitely, created space for further talks on a potential memorandum of understanding covering nuclear restraints in exchange for eased sanctions and regional de-escalation measures like reopening the Strait of Hormuz. Iran's domestic economic pressures and reported progress toward framework agreements have reinforced trader views that a deal remains achievable by end-2026, though core gaps on enrichment rights and verification persist as key variables.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Объем
$2,147,370Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 5, 2025, 11:47 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing Oman-mediated negotiations between the US and Iran, including multiple 2026 rounds on uranium enrichment limits, stockpiles, verification, and sanctions relief, have sustained diplomatic momentum despite earlier military strikes and the February 2026 escalation. The April 2026 temporary ceasefire, later extended indefinitely, created space for further talks on a potential memorandum of understanding covering nuclear restraints in exchange for eased sanctions and regional de-escalation measures like reopening the Strait of Hormuz. Iran's domestic economic pressures and reported progress toward framework agreements have reinforced trader views that a deal remains achievable by end-2026, though core gaps on enrichment rights and verification persist as key variables.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы