Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep skepticism about the Trump Gold Card immigration program's viability in 2026, with zero sales leading at 29.5% amid ongoing federal lawsuits challenging its legality under executive authority for repurposing EB-1 and EB-2 green card categories. Launched via 2025 executive order, the $1 million fast-track residency option drew 70,000 applicant expressions of interest by early March but reports low conversion due to high costs, vetting delays, and competition from established EB-5 investments. No verified issuances have occurred this year, per public records, differentiating the zero outcome from modest 1-100 sales (19.4%) if courts allow limited rollout. Resolution hinges on pending injunction hearings and USCIS processing updates, with economic pressures on wealthy applicants potentially consolidating odds toward low-volume buckets.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоСколько золотых карт продаст Трамп в 2026 году?
Сколько золотых карт продаст Трамп в 2026 году?
0 30%
1-100 19.4%
101-1k 10.5%
25 000–100 000 9.6%
$123,878 Объем
$123,878 Объем
Dec 31, 2026
0
30%
1-100
19%
101-1k
11%
1k-2.5k
8%
2,5–5 тыс.
8%
5–10 тыс.
7%
10k-25k
7%
25 000–100 000
10%
>100 тыс.
5%
0 30%
1-100 19.4%
101-1k 10.5%
25 000–100 000 9.6%
$123,878 Объем
$123,878 Объем
Dec 31, 2026
0
$23,864 Объем
30%
1-100
$9,894 Объем
19%
101-1k
$4,777 Объем
11%
1k-2.5k
$7,225 Объем
8%
2,5–5 тыс.
$4,216 Объем
8%
5–10 тыс.
$4,525 Объем
7%
10k-25k
$53,994 Объем
7%
25 000–100 000
$4,096 Объем
10%
>100 тыс.
$11,285 Объем
5%
Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep skepticism about the Trump Gold Card immigration program's viability in 2026, with zero sales leading at 29.5% amid ongoing federal lawsuits challenging its legality under executive authority for repurposing EB-1 and EB-2 green card categories. Launched via 2025 executive order, the $1 million fast-track residency option drew 70,000 applicant expressions of interest by early March but reports low conversion due to high costs, vetting delays, and competition from established EB-5 investments. No verified issuances have occurred this year, per public records, differentiating the zero outcome from modest 1-100 sales (19.4%) if courts allow limited rollout. Resolution hinges on pending injunction hearings and USCIS processing updates, with economic pressures on wealthy applicants potentially consolidating odds toward low-volume buckets.
Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Nov 5, 2025, 11:33 AM ET
Объем
$123,878Дата окончания
Dec 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Nov 5, 2025, 11:33 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep skepticism about the Trump Gold Card immigration program's viability in 2026, with zero sales leading at 29.5% amid ongoing federal lawsuits challenging its legality under executive authority for repurposing EB-1 and EB-2 green card categories. Launched via 2025 executive order, the $1 million fast-track residency option drew 70,000 applicant expressions of interest by early March but reports low conversion due to high costs, vetting delays, and competition from established EB-5 investments. No verified issuances have occurred this year, per public records, differentiating the zero outcome from modest 1-100 sales (19.4%) if courts allow limited rollout. Resolution hinges on pending injunction hearings and USCIS processing updates, with economic pressures on wealthy applicants potentially consolidating odds toward low-volume buckets.
Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$123,878Дата окончания
Dec 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Nov 5, 2025, 11:33 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep skepticism about the Trump Gold Card immigration program's viability in 2026, with zero sales leading at 29.5% amid ongoing federal lawsuits challenging its legality under executive authority for repurposing EB-1 and EB-2 green card categories. Launched via 2025 executive order, the $1 million fast-track residency option drew 70,000 applicant expressions of interest by early March but reports low conversion due to high costs, vetting delays, and competition from established EB-5 investments. No verified issuances have occurred this year, per public records, differentiating the zero outcome from modest 1-100 sales (19.4%) if courts allow limited rollout. Resolution hinges on pending injunction hearings and USCIS processing updates, with economic pressures on wealthy applicants potentially consolidating odds toward low-volume buckets.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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