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Сколько золотых карт продаст Трамп в 2026 году?

Market icon

Сколько золотых карт продаст Трамп в 2026 году?

дек. 31

дек. 31

0 45%

1-100 18.3%

10k-25k 7.5%

25 000–100 000 7.2%

Polymarket

$131,112 Объем

0 45%

1-100 18.3%

10k-25k 7.5%

25 000–100 000 7.2%

Polymarket

$131,112 Объем

0

$26,192 Объем

45%

1-100

$10,397 Объем

18%

101-1k

$5,023 Объем

4%

1k-2.5k

$7,518 Объем

6%

2,5–5 тыс.

$4,442 Объем

5%

5–10 тыс.

$4,847 Объем

6%

10k-25k

$54,356 Объем

8%

25 000–100 000

$4,367 Объем

7%

>100 тыс.

$13,970 Объем

4%

Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment. This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus favors zero Gold Cards sold in 2026 at 45%, reflecting no verified issuances to date despite the program's December 2025 launch via executive order and early claims of $1.3 billion in prior sales. A federal lawsuit filed February 3 challenges the program's legality for allegedly displacing EB-1 and EB-2 visas without congressional approval, with government response periods lapsed and proceedings ongoing, deterring applicants amid risks of injunctions. March reporting highlights its hard sell versus cheaper EB-5 options, high family costs up to $4 million, and processing delays beyond promised weeks, with Commerce Department estimates of 70,000 interests but zero confirmed 2026 transactions fueling skepticism for low-volume outcomes like 1-100 at 18%. Resolution awaits official year-end tallies from USCIS or Commerce.

Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.

This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$131,112
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Nov 5, 2025, 11:33 AM ET
Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment. This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment. This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus favors zero Gold Cards sold in 2026 at 45%, reflecting no verified issuances to date despite the program's December 2025 launch via executive order and early claims of $1.3 billion in prior sales. A federal lawsuit filed February 3 challenges the program's legality for allegedly displacing EB-1 and EB-2 visas without congressional approval, with government response periods lapsed and proceedings ongoing, deterring applicants amid risks of injunctions. March reporting highlights its hard sell versus cheaper EB-5 options, high family costs up to $4 million, and processing delays beyond promised weeks, with Commerce Department estimates of 70,000 interests but zero confirmed 2026 transactions fueling skepticism for low-volume outcomes like 1-100 at 18%. Resolution awaits official year-end tallies from USCIS or Commerce.

Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.

This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$131,112
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Nov 5, 2025, 11:33 AM ET
Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment. This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Сколько золотых карт продаст Трамп в 2026 году?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 9 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «0» с 45%, за ним следует «1-100» с 18%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 45¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 45%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Сколько золотых карт продаст Трамп в 2026 году?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $131.1K с момента запуска рынка Nov 5, 2025. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Сколько золотых карт продаст Трамп в 2026 году?», просмотри 9 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Сколько золотых карт продаст Трамп в 2026 году?» — «0» с 45%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 45%. Следующий ближайший исход — «1-100» с 18%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Сколько золотых карт продаст Трамп в 2026 году?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.