Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors low sales of President-elect Trump's proposed $5 million "gold card" visas in 2026, with 0 sales at 23.5% and 1-100 at 21.1% leading a fragmented field where no outcome exceeds a quarter. This tightness stems from uncertainty over program launch, as the investor residency pathway requires congressional approval or novel executive authority amid ongoing immigration reform debates, plus unproven demand from high-net-worth foreigners competing with established golden visa programs elsewhere. Recent transition team signals emphasize border security priorities over sales details, keeping skepticism high; separation could arise from January inauguration executive orders, early legislative pushes like EB-5 expansions, or pilot buyer announcements, potentially shifting odds toward mid-tier buckets like 1,000-2,500.