Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a razor-thin split between one (41.5%) and two (46.0%) dissents at the April 28-29 FOMC meeting, reflecting deepening policy tensions amid softening labor data and persistent inflation risks. The March 17-18 session saw a unanimous hold at 3.50%-3.75% except for lone dissenter Governor Stephen Miran advocating a cut, following two prior meetings with dove dissents from Miran and Waller pushing for easing against hawkish caution. March dot plot reaffirmed a median one 25-basis-point cut for 2026 end but with wider dispersion, signaling debate on timing as CME FedWatch implies >90% hold odds. Key swing factors ahead: March nonfarm payrolls on April 4 and CPI release, potentially amplifying dual-mandate frictions and dissent counts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено2 32%
1 30%
3 17%
0 6%
$10,150 Объем
$10,150 Объем
0
6%
1
44%
2
44%
3
17%
4+
3%
2 32%
1 30%
3 17%
0 6%
$10,150 Объем
$10,150 Объем
0
6%
1
44%
2
44%
3
17%
4+
3%
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Reserve Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for April 28-29, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Открытие рынка: Mar 19, 2026, 8:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Reserve Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for April 28-29, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a razor-thin split between one (41.5%) and two (46.0%) dissents at the April 28-29 FOMC meeting, reflecting deepening policy tensions amid softening labor data and persistent inflation risks. The March 17-18 session saw a unanimous hold at 3.50%-3.75% except for lone dissenter Governor Stephen Miran advocating a cut, following two prior meetings with dove dissents from Miran and Waller pushing for easing against hawkish caution. March dot plot reaffirmed a median one 25-basis-point cut for 2026 end but with wider dispersion, signaling debate on timing as CME FedWatch implies >90% hold odds. Key swing factors ahead: March nonfarm payrolls on April 4 and CPI release, potentially amplifying dual-mandate frictions and dissent counts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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