Market icon

Как долго продлится приостановка работы правительства?

Market icon

Как долго продлится приостановка работы правительства?

Ended: Mar 31

Mar 14

Ended: Mar 31

Mar 14

$23,495,074 Объем

Mar 31, 2026
Polymarket

$23,495,074 Объем

Polymarket

1+ день

$2,164,197 Объем

Да

2+ дня

$424,934 Объем

Да

3+ дня

$2,986,464 Объем

Да

4+ дня

$4,389,036 Объем

Да

5+ дней

$6,260,856 Объем

Нет

6+ дней

$1,251,150 Объем

Нет

10+ дней

$1,238,745 Объем

Нет

7+ дней

$2,275,570 Объем

Нет

14+ дней

$1,157,027 Объем

Нет

30+ дней

$933,496 Объем

Нет

60+ дней

$413,600 Объем

Нет

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the government is shut down for the listed number of days, inclusive of the beginning and ending dates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying government shutdown will be defined as having begun when the Office of Personnel Management (OPM) announces that the U.S. federal government is shut down due to a lapse in appropriations.

The end date of the shut down will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the government is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.

Partial shutdowns count as shutdowns; announcements of office closures due to holidays or inclement weather do not qualify as a shutdown.

If no qualifying shutdown begins by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be OPM’s Operating Status page (https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/snow-dismissal-procedures/current-status/), information from official U.S. Government sources, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$23,495,074
Дата окончания
Mar 31, 2026
Дата создания
Jan 24, 2026, 5:32 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the government is shut down for the listed number of days, inclusive of the beginning and ending dates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying government shutdown will be defined as having begun when the Office of Personnel Management (OPM) announces that the U.S. federal government is shut down due to a lapse in appropriations. The end date of the shut down will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the government is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. Partial shutdowns count as shutdowns; announcements of office closures due to holidays or inclement weather do not qualify as a shutdown. If no qualifying shutdown begins by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be OPM’s Operating Status page (https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/snow-dismissal-procedures/current-status/), information from official U.S. Government sources, and a consensus of credible reporting.

Предложенный исход: Да

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Как долго продлится приостановка работы правительства?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "1+ день" at 100%, followed by "2+ дня" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Как долго продлится приостановка работы правительства?" has generated $23.5 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 24, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Как долго продлится приостановка работы правительства?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Как долго продлится приостановка работы правительства?" is "1+ день" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "2+ дня" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Как долго продлится приостановка работы правительства?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.