The 10-year Treasury yield surged to a 2026 peak of 4.44% on March 27—highest since July 2025—fueled by inflation persistence and widening fiscal deficits, before retreating to 4.35% by March 31 amid steady February CPI at 2.4% year-over-year and softening labor data showing a 92,000 drop in nonfarm payrolls. Federal Reserve policy remains anchored with the federal funds rate at 3.5%-3.75%, as markets price limited near-term cuts given resilient economic momentum. Traders eye March CPI release on April 10 and the April 28-29 FOMC meeting as pivotal, potentially shifting the yield curve if inflation reaccelerates or growth surprises higher ahead of 2027.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоНасколько высокой будет доходность 10-летних казначейских облигаций до 2027 года?
Насколько высокой будет доходность 10-летних казначейских облигаций до 2027 года?
$165,836 Объем
4,5%
86%
4,6%
63%
4,8%
45%
5,0%
21%
5,2%
14%
5,5%
10%
5,7%
11%
6,0%
8%
$165,836 Объем
4,5%
86%
4,6%
63%
4,8%
45%
5,0%
21%
5,2%
14%
5,5%
10%
5,7%
11%
6,0%
8%
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Открытие рынка: Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The 10-year Treasury yield surged to a 2026 peak of 4.44% on March 27—highest since July 2025—fueled by inflation persistence and widening fiscal deficits, before retreating to 4.35% by March 31 amid steady February CPI at 2.4% year-over-year and softening labor data showing a 92,000 drop in nonfarm payrolls. Federal Reserve policy remains anchored with the federal funds rate at 3.5%-3.75%, as markets price limited near-term cuts given resilient economic momentum. Traders eye March CPI release on April 10 and the April 28-29 FOMC meeting as pivotal, potentially shifting the yield curve if inflation reaccelerates or growth surprises higher ahead of 2027.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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