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Highest temperature in NYC on March 29?

Market icon

Highest temperature in NYC on March 29?

Mar 29

Mar 30

Mar 31

Apr 1

Mar 29

Mar 30

Mar 31

Apr 1

52-53°F 100.0%

54-55°F <1%

56-57°F <1%

58-59°F <1%

Polymarket

$239,586 Объем

52-53°F 100.0%

54-55°F <1%

56-57°F <1%

58-59°F <1%

Polymarket

$239,586 Объем

52-53°F

$43,390 Объем

100%

54-55°F

$25,163 Объем

<1%

56-57°F

$23,973 Объем

<1%

58-59°F

$16,290 Объем

<1%

60-61°F

$10,832 Объем

<1%

62-63°F

$10,275 Объем

<1%

64-65°F

$8,971 Объем

<1%

66°F or higher

$9,429 Объем

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 52-53°F at 100% implied probability for New York City's highest temperature on March 29, 2026, driven by the National Weather Service's official Central Park observation—the authoritative measurement site—recording a daily maximum in that range amid seasonable late-March conditions. This follows a sharp cool-down from record 80°F heat earlier in the month on March 10, with persistent northerly flows and cloud cover capping daytime highs near climatological norms of 52-55°F. Model consensus from NOAA guidance accurately anticipated this, minimizing uncertainty. Realistic challenges would require rare post-preliminary data revisions from quality control, such as sensor recalibrations, though NWS daily reports rarely shift significantly after initial release. Final monthly climate summary expected soon.

Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 52-53°F at 100% implied probability for New York City's highest temperature on March 29, 2026, driven by the National Weather Service's official Central Park observation—the authoritative measurement site—recording a daily maximum in that range amid seasonable late-March conditions. This follows a sharp cool-down from record 80°F heat earlier in the month on March 10, with persistent northerly flows and cloud cover capping daytime highs near climatological norms of 52-55°F. Model consensus from NOAA guidance accurately anticipated this, minimizing uncertainty. Realistic challenges would require rare post-preliminary data revisions from quality control, such as sensor recalibrations, though NWS daily reports rarely shift significantly after initial release. Final monthly climate summary expected soon.

Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 52-53°F at 100% implied probability for New York City's highest temperature on March 29, 2026, driven by the National Weather Service's official Central Park observation—the authoritative measurement site—recording a daily maximum in that range amid seasonable late-March conditions. This follows a sharp cool-down from record 80°F heat earlier in the month on March 10, with persistent northerly flows and cloud cover capping daytime highs near climatological norms of 52-55°F. Model consensus from NOAA guidance accurately anticipated this, minimizing uncertainty. Realistic challenges would require rare post-preliminary data revisions from quality control, such as sensor recalibrations, though NWS daily reports rarely shift significantly after initial release. Final monthly climate summary expected soon.

Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 52-53°F at 100% implied probability for New York City's highest temperature on March 29, 2026, driven by the National Weather Service's official Central Park observation—the authoritative measurement site—recording a daily maximum in that range amid seasonable late-March conditions. This follows a sharp cool-down from record 80°F heat earlier in the month on March 10, with persistent northerly flows and cloud cover capping daytime highs near climatological norms of 52-55°F. Model consensus from NOAA guidance accurately anticipated this, minimizing uncertainty. Realistic challenges would require rare post-preliminary data revisions from quality control, such as sensor recalibrations, though NWS daily reports rarely shift significantly after initial release. Final monthly climate summary expected soon.

Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Highest temperature in NYC on March 29?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «52-53°F» с 100%, за ним следует «54-55°F» с 0%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 100¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Highest temperature in NYC on March 29?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $239.6K с момента запуска рынка Mar 25, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Highest temperature in NYC on March 29?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Highest temperature in NYC on March 29?» — «52-53°F» с 100%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Следующий ближайший исход — «54-55°F» с 0%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Highest temperature in NYC on March 29?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.