Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 40.6% probability for Madrid's highest temperature reaching 19°C at Adolfo Suárez Madrid–Barajas Airport today, closely trailed by 18°C at 21.5%, reflecting the latest AEMET forecast of an 18°C maximum amid mostly clear skies with high clouds and moderate northerly winds allowing strong solar heating. This positions 17–20°C outcomes as leaders following yesterday's cooler 14.4°C peak during a brief unsettled period, with maximum temperatures now rising notably in southeastern areas per official guidance. Model consensus from ECMWF and GFS aligns around 18–19°C, though inherent forecast uncertainty from diurnal continental swings and potential afternoon cloud buildup in the Sierra could tip the peak; hourly Barajas observations will resolve by evening. Historical late-March highs average 16–17°C, underscoring the mild spring transition.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Madrid on March 30?
Highest temperature in Madrid on March 30?
19°C 37.3%
18°C 25%
17°C 18%
20°C 16%
NEW
$10,243 Объем
NEW
$10,243 Объем
Mar 30, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
2%
16°C
6%
17°C
18%
18°C
25%
19°C
37%
20°C
16%
21°C
4%
22°C
2%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
19°C 37.3%
18°C 25%
17°C 18%
20°C 16%
NEW
$10,243 Объем
NEW
$10,243 Объем
Mar 30, 2026
14°C or below
$880 Объем
<1%
15°C
$743 Объем
2%
16°C
$1,159 Объем
6%
17°C
$1,007 Объем
18%
18°C
$1,094 Объем
25%
19°C
$1,208 Объем
37%
20°C
$1,235 Объем
16%
21°C
$870 Объем
4%
22°C
$995 Объем
2%
23°C
$482 Объем
<1%
24°C or higher
$663 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 40.6% probability for Madrid's highest temperature reaching 19°C at Adolfo Suárez Madrid–Barajas Airport today, closely trailed by 18°C at 21.5%, reflecting the latest AEMET forecast of an 18°C maximum amid mostly clear skies with high clouds and moderate northerly winds allowing strong solar heating. This positions 17–20°C outcomes as leaders following yesterday's cooler 14.4°C peak during a brief unsettled period, with maximum temperatures now rising notably in southeastern areas per official guidance. Model consensus from ECMWF and GFS aligns around 18–19°C, though inherent forecast uncertainty from diurnal continental swings and potential afternoon cloud buildup in the Sierra could tip the peak; hourly Barajas observations will resolve by evening. Historical late-March highs average 16–17°C, underscoring the mild spring transition.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 29, 2026, 3:45 PM ET
Объем
$10,243Дата окончания
Mar 30, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 3:45 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 40.6% probability for Madrid's highest temperature reaching 19°C at Adolfo Suárez Madrid–Barajas Airport today, closely trailed by 18°C at 21.5%, reflecting the latest AEMET forecast of an 18°C maximum amid mostly clear skies with high clouds and moderate northerly winds allowing strong solar heating. This positions 17–20°C outcomes as leaders following yesterday's cooler 14.4°C peak during a brief unsettled period, with maximum temperatures now rising notably in southeastern areas per official guidance. Model consensus from ECMWF and GFS aligns around 18–19°C, though inherent forecast uncertainty from diurnal continental swings and potential afternoon cloud buildup in the Sierra could tip the peak; hourly Barajas observations will resolve by evening. Historical late-March highs average 16–17°C, underscoring the mild spring transition.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$10,243Дата окончания
Mar 30, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 3:45 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 40.6% probability for Madrid's highest temperature reaching 19°C at Adolfo Suárez Madrid–Barajas Airport today, closely trailed by 18°C at 21.5%, reflecting the latest AEMET forecast of an 18°C maximum amid mostly clear skies with high clouds and moderate northerly winds allowing strong solar heating. This positions 17–20°C outcomes as leaders following yesterday's cooler 14.4°C peak during a brief unsettled period, with maximum temperatures now rising notably in southeastern areas per official guidance. Model consensus from ECMWF and GFS aligns around 18–19°C, though inherent forecast uncertainty from diurnal continental swings and potential afternoon cloud buildup in the Sierra could tip the peak; hourly Barajas observations will resolve by evening. Historical late-March highs average 16–17°C, underscoring the mild spring transition.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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