Market icon

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 4?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 4?

26°C 86%

27°C 12%

28°C 3.4%

29°C or higher <1%

Polymarket

$78,376 Объем

26°C 86%

27°C 12%

28°C 3.4%

29°C or higher <1%

Polymarket

$78,376 Объем

19°C or below

$4,773 Объем

<1%

20°C

$4,744 Объем

<1%

21°C

$3,778 Объем

<1%

22°C

$4,331 Объем

<1%

23°C

$8,436 Объем

<1%

24°C

$12,786 Объем

<1%

25°C

$20,940 Объем

<1%

26°C

$7,570 Объем

86%

27°C

$3,862 Объем

12%

28°C

$4,188 Объем

3%

29°C or higher

$3,364 Объем

1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory observations as of midday April 4 show air temperatures reaching 25°C amid mainly cloudy skies, high humidity around 85-86%, and light rainfall (0.7 mm since midnight), driving trader consensus toward a 26°C daily maximum with 83.5% implied probability. A trough of low pressure is delivering occasional showers and squally thunderstorms, reducing insolation and capping warming potential despite southerly winds at force 3-4; this aligns with early April climatology, where average highs hover near 25-26°C, though 2026's above-normal seasonal temperature outlook adds slight upside risk to 27°C (13.5%). Model consensus and real-time data updates throughout the afternoon will refine the peak before resolution based on HKO's official King's Park reading.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$78,376
Дата окончания
4 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 3:14 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory observations as of midday April 4 show air temperatures reaching 25°C amid mainly cloudy skies, high humidity around 85-86%, and light rainfall (0.7 mm since midnight), driving trader consensus toward a 26°C daily maximum with 83.5% implied probability. A trough of low pressure is delivering occasional showers and squally thunderstorms, reducing insolation and capping warming potential despite southerly winds at force 3-4; this aligns with early April climatology, where average highs hover near 25-26°C, though 2026's above-normal seasonal temperature outlook adds slight upside risk to 27°C (13.5%). Model consensus and real-time data updates throughout the afternoon will refine the peak before resolution based on HKO's official King's Park reading.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$78,376
Дата окончания
4 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 3:14 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 4?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «26°C» с 86%, за ним следует «27°C» с 12%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 86¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 86%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 4?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $78.4K с момента запуска рынка Mar 29, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 4?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 4?» — «26°C» с 86%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 86%. Следующий ближайший исход — «27°C» с 12%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 4?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.