Hong Kong Observatory observations as of midday April 4 show air temperatures reaching 25°C amid mainly cloudy skies, high humidity around 85-86%, and light rainfall (0.7 mm since midnight), driving trader consensus toward a 26°C daily maximum with 83.5% implied probability. A trough of low pressure is delivering occasional showers and squally thunderstorms, reducing insolation and capping warming potential despite southerly winds at force 3-4; this aligns with early April climatology, where average highs hover near 25-26°C, though 2026's above-normal seasonal temperature outlook adds slight upside risk to 27°C (13.5%). Model consensus and real-time data updates throughout the afternoon will refine the peak before resolution based on HKO's official King's Park reading.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Hong Kong on April 4?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 4?
26°C 86%
27°C 12%
28°C 3.4%
29°C or higher <1%
$78,376 Объем
$78,376 Объем
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
86%
27°C
12%
28°C
3%
29°C or higher
1%
26°C 86%
27°C 12%
28°C 3.4%
29°C or higher <1%
$78,376 Объем
$78,376 Объем
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
86%
27°C
12%
28°C
3%
29°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 29, 2026, 3:14 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory observations as of midday April 4 show air temperatures reaching 25°C amid mainly cloudy skies, high humidity around 85-86%, and light rainfall (0.7 mm since midnight), driving trader consensus toward a 26°C daily maximum with 83.5% implied probability. A trough of low pressure is delivering occasional showers and squally thunderstorms, reducing insolation and capping warming potential despite southerly winds at force 3-4; this aligns with early April climatology, where average highs hover near 25-26°C, though 2026's above-normal seasonal temperature outlook adds slight upside risk to 27°C (13.5%). Model consensus and real-time data updates throughout the afternoon will refine the peak before resolution based on HKO's official King's Park reading.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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