Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an implied probability of roughly 84% that Elon Musk's Bloomberg Billionaires Index net worth on March 31 will fall between under $640 billion (48.5%) and $640-650 billion (35%), reflecting recent Tesla share price weakness. TSLA closed at $361.83 on March 27, down over 7% weekly from mid-March highs near $390, as markets anticipate soft Q1 2026 deliveries around 365,000 vehicles—analyst consensus signaling a third straight year of sliding volumes amid EV demand slowdowns in Europe and China competition from BYD. Musk's ~11% Tesla stake weighs heavily alongside his 44% in the $1.03 trillion SpaceX-xAI entity, but stable private valuations provide a floor. With resolution imminent post-weekend trading, volatility from final Q1 data previews could sway the outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено<640 млрд 49%
640–650 млрд 35%
650–660 млрд 8%
660-670 млрд 4.3%
$509,021 Объем
$509,021 Объем
<640 млрд
49%
640–650 млрд
35%
650–660 млрд
8%
660-670 млрд
4%
670-680 млрд
3%
680-690 млрд
3%
690-700 млрд
1%
700-710 млрд
1%
710 млрд+
2%
<640 млрд 49%
640–650 млрд 35%
650–660 млрд 8%
660-670 млрд 4.3%
$509,021 Объем
$509,021 Объем
<640 млрд
49%
640–650 млрд
35%
650–660 млрд
8%
660-670 млрд
4%
670-680 млрд
3%
680-690 млрд
3%
690-700 млрд
1%
700-710 млрд
1%
710 млрд+
2%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for March 31, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.
Открытие рынка: Feb 25, 2026, 7:25 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for March 31, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an implied probability of roughly 84% that Elon Musk's Bloomberg Billionaires Index net worth on March 31 will fall between under $640 billion (48.5%) and $640-650 billion (35%), reflecting recent Tesla share price weakness. TSLA closed at $361.83 on March 27, down over 7% weekly from mid-March highs near $390, as markets anticipate soft Q1 2026 deliveries around 365,000 vehicles—analyst consensus signaling a third straight year of sliding volumes amid EV demand slowdowns in Europe and China competition from BYD. Musk's ~11% Tesla stake weighs heavily alongside his 44% in the $1.03 trillion SpaceX-xAI entity, but stable private valuations provide a floor. With resolution imminent post-weekend trading, volatility from final Q1 data previews could sway the outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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