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RecessãO previsões e probabilidades

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Recessão dos EUA até o final de 2026?

Recessão dos EUA até o final de 2026?

13%

$2M Vol.

$32.4K Liq.

69

Ends em 8 meses

Japan recession in 2026?

Japan recession in 2026?

12%

$2.9K Vol.

$381 Liq.

Ends em 9 meses

UK Recession in 2026?

UK Recession in 2026?

33%

$5.4K Vol.

$595 Liq.

3

Ends em 9 meses

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

52%

↓ 0.0010

$116K Vol.

$8.7K Liq.

4

Ends em 7 meses

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

82%

$619K Vol.

$34.1K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

24%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$14.6K Liq.

135

Ends em 7 meses

Negative GDP growth in 2026?

Negative GDP growth in 2026?

8%

$27.7K Vol.

$3.1K Liq.

4

Ends em 7 meses

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

11%

June 30

$166K Vol.

$1.2K Liq.

10

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

92%

Up

$25.4K Vol.

$5.7K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on June 22?

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on June 22?

98%

$720

$277 Vol.

$3.8K Liq.

Ends em 3 dias

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

75%

June 30, 2027

$502K Vol.

$5.8K Liq.

31

Ends em mais de 1 ano

What price will Ethena hit in June?

What price will Ethena hit in June?

21%

↑ 0.12

$4.1K Vol.

$9.8K Liq.

Ends em 12 dias

Amazon 2026 capex above ___?

Amazon 2026 capex above ___?

94%

$170 billion

$8.0K Vol.

$5.3K Liq.

Ends em 10 meses

Will Bank of America (BAC) Q2 provision for credit losses be above __?

Will Bank of America (BAC) Q2 provision for credit losses be above __?

92%

$1.2B

$23.0K Vol.

$3.6K Liq.

Ends em 25 dias

GDP growth in 2026

GDP growth in 2026

51%

>2.5%

$30.3K Vol.

$6.0K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

71%

50

$21.0K Vol.

$1.6K Liq.

2

Ends em 7 meses

US economic state at the end of 2026?

US economic state at the end of 2026?

28%

Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)

$4.0K Vol.

$1.2K Liq.

1

Ends em 8 meses

What price will Hyperliquid hit in June?

What price will Hyperliquid hit in June?

25%

↑ 84

$126K Vol.

$15.4K Liq.

Ends em 12 dias

What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in June 2026?

What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in June 2026?

15%

↓ $720

$443K Vol.

$139K Liq.

Ends em 12 dias

Will Wells Fargo (WFC) Q2 provision for credit losses be above __?

Will Wells Fargo (WFC) Q2 provision for credit losses be above __?

100%

$0.9B

$0 Vol.

Ends em 25 dias

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like RecessãO.

Polymarket currently hosts 103 active markets for RecessãO that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Recessão dos EUA até o final de 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $6.3M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Nothing Ever Happens: 2026”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 24% chance to December 31, 2026. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on RecessãO predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.