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Promessas De Campanha previsões e probabilidades

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Tucker Carlson announces a run for office by June 30?

Tucker Carlson announces a run for office by June 30?

8%

$616 Vol.

$10.9K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store  by June 30?

Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?

3%

$248K Vol.

$16.0K Liq.

65

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Will Ken Paxton drop out?

Will Ken Paxton drop out?

2%

$5.7K Vol.

$11.5K Liq.

Ends em 18 dias

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Green wins ___ seats?

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Green wins ___ seats?

92%

500+

$19.9K Vol.

$70.9K Liq.

2

Ends em cerca de 9 horas

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Conservative wins ___ seats?

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Conservative wins ___ seats?

98%

300+

$13.2K Vol.

$62.1K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 9 horas

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Liberal Democrats wins ___ seats?

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Liberal Democrats wins ___ seats?

96%

600+

$31.9K Vol.

$37.8K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 9 horas

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Labour wins ___ seats?

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Labour wins ___ seats?

98%

300+

$46.6K Vol.

$85.8K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 9 horas

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Reform wins ___ seats?

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Reform wins ___ seats?

72%

1600+

$34.6K Vol.

$56.3K Liq.

4

Ends em cerca de 3 horas

Will Green Party win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?

Will Green Party win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?

92%

$55.6K Vol.

$14.5K Liq.

4

Ends em cerca de 9 horas

Will Reform win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?

Will Reform win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?

2%

$3.3K Vol.

$13.8K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 9 horas

Colombia Election 1st Round: Margin of Victory?

Colombia Election 1st Round: Margin of Victory?

34%

Cepeda Castro 15-20%

$8.2K Vol.

$63.9K Liq.

Ends em 24 dias

Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?

Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?

62%

$3.9K Vol.

$21.7K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

Peru Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Peru Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

96%

Keiko Fujimori 5%+

$511K Vol.

$83.5K Liq.

10

Ends há 25 dias

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

93%

$2.3K Vol.

$14.7K Liq.

2

Ends em 6 meses

OR-06 House Election Winner

OR-06 House Election Winner

94%

Democratic Party

$16.1K Vol.

$29.2K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

CA-19 House Election Winner

CA-19 House Election Winner

95%

Democratic Party

$20.1K Vol.

$39.0K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

OR-02 House Election Winner

OR-02 House Election Winner

91%

Republican Party

$3.8K Vol.

$33.8K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

DE-AL House Election Winner

DE-AL House Election Winner

93%

Democratic Party

$820 Vol.

$37.2K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner

2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner

83%

Kuomintang (KMT)

$109K Vol.

$37.3K Liq.

30

Ends em 7 meses

OR-03 House Election Winner

OR-03 House Election Winner

94%

Democratic Party

$1.3K Vol.

$31.6K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Promessas De Campanha.

Polymarket currently hosts 105 active markets for Promessas De Campanha that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Tucker Carlson announces a run for office by June 30?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $1.1M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Green Party win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Peru Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Peru Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 96% chance to Keiko Fujimori 5%+. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Promessas De Campanha predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.