Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 100% implied probability against Christopher Waller dissenting at the December 17-18 FOMC meeting, driven by his recent speeches affirming support for a 25 basis point rate cut if inflation data remains on track toward 2%. Waller's data-dependent stance mirrors Fed Chair Powell's gradual easing narrative, reinforced by tame November CPI prints showing core inflation at 2.7% year-over-year—below recent peaks—and resilient labor markets without overheating signals. No public indications of divergence exist, with Waller voting alongside the majority in prior 2024 meetings. Tail risks include hotter-than-expected jobs data on December 6 potentially prompting a hawkish pivot, though such a shift remains improbable given his consistent rhetoric.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoSim
$18,136 Vol.
$18,136 Vol.
Sim
$18,136 Vol.
$18,136 Vol.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Christopher Waller votes in dissent from the FOMC decision on the target federal funds rate at this FOMC meeting. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for March 17-18, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their March meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jan 29, 2026, 12:54 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Christopher Waller votes in dissent from the FOMC decision on the target federal funds rate at this FOMC meeting. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for March 17-18, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their March meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 100% implied probability against Christopher Waller dissenting at the December 17-18 FOMC meeting, driven by his recent speeches affirming support for a 25 basis point rate cut if inflation data remains on track toward 2%. Waller's data-dependent stance mirrors Fed Chair Powell's gradual easing narrative, reinforced by tame November CPI prints showing core inflation at 2.7% year-over-year—below recent peaks—and resilient labor markets without overheating signals. No public indications of divergence exist, with Waller voting alongside the majority in prior 2024 meetings. Tail risks include hotter-than-expected jobs data on December 6 potentially prompting a hawkish pivot, though such a shift remains improbable given his consistent rhetoric.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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