**US-Venezuela relations have de-escalated significantly since the January 3, 2026, targeted US military operation in Caracas that captured President Nicolás Maduro and his wife on narco-terrorism charges, framed by the administration as a law enforcement action under the War Powers Resolution rather than a declaration of war.** Congressional efforts, including advanced Senate war powers resolutions like S.J.Res.98 and House measures, sought to limit further involvement without explicit authorization for use of military force (AUMF) or formal war declaration—a step Congress has not taken since World War II. In the past 30 days, the State Department announced on March 5 an agreement with Venezuela's interim authorities to restore diplomatic and consular ties, alongside eased oil sector sanctions amid global supply concerns, signaling normalization and reduced hostilities. Traders note minimal escalation risks ahead of Maduro's ongoing New York trial and potential interim government stabilization, with no scheduled congressional votes or diplomatic deadlines pointing toward war declaration.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado$1,230,098 Vol.
31 dez 2025
30 de junho de 2026
2%
$1,230,098 Vol.
30 de junho de 2026
$464,673 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Venezuela through an act of Congress between December 15, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Venezuela through an act of Congress between December 15 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.**US-Venezuela relations have de-escalated significantly since the January 3, 2026, targeted US military operation in Caracas that captured President Nicolás Maduro and his wife on narco-terrorism charges, framed by the administration as a law enforcement action under the War Powers Resolution rather than a declaration of war.** Congressional efforts, including advanced Senate war powers resolutions like S.J.Res.98 and House measures, sought to limit further involvement without explicit authorization for use of military force (AUMF) or formal war declaration—a step Congress has not taken since World War II. In the past 30 days, the State Department announced on March 5 an agreement with Venezuela's interim authorities to restore diplomatic and consular ties, alongside eased oil sector sanctions amid global supply concerns, signaling normalization and reduced hostilities. Traders note minimal escalation risks ahead of Maduro's ongoing New York trial and potential interim government stabilization, with no scheduled congressional votes or diplomatic deadlines pointing toward war declaration.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Venezuela through an act of Congress between December 15, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Dec 16, 2025, 2:21 PM ET
Volume
$1,230,098Data de Término
30 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 16, 2025, 2:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Venezuela through an act of Congress between December 15, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Venezuela through an act of Congress between December 15 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.**US-Venezuela relations have de-escalated significantly since the January 3, 2026, targeted US military operation in Caracas that captured President Nicolás Maduro and his wife on narco-terrorism charges, framed by the administration as a law enforcement action under the War Powers Resolution rather than a declaration of war.** Congressional efforts, including advanced Senate war powers resolutions like S.J.Res.98 and House measures, sought to limit further involvement without explicit authorization for use of military force (AUMF) or formal war declaration—a step Congress has not taken since World War II. In the past 30 days, the State Department announced on March 5 an agreement with Venezuela's interim authorities to restore diplomatic and consular ties, alongside eased oil sector sanctions amid global supply concerns, signaling normalization and reduced hostilities. Traders note minimal escalation risks ahead of Maduro's ongoing New York trial and potential interim government stabilization, with no scheduled congressional votes or diplomatic deadlines pointing toward war declaration.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Venezuela through an act of Congress between December 15, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,230,098Data de Término
30 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 16, 2025, 2:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**US-Venezuela relations have de-escalated significantly since the January 3, 2026, targeted US military operation in Caracas that captured President Nicolás Maduro and his wife on narco-terrorism charges, framed by the administration as a law enforcement action under the War Powers Resolution rather than a declaration of war.** Congressional efforts, including advanced Senate war powers resolutions like S.J.Res.98 and House measures, sought to limit further involvement without explicit authorization for use of military force (AUMF) or formal war declaration—a step Congress has not taken since World War II. In the past 30 days, the State Department announced on March 5 an agreement with Venezuela's interim authorities to restore diplomatic and consular ties, alongside eased oil sector sanctions amid global supply concerns, signaling normalization and reduced hostilities. Traders note minimal escalation risks ahead of Maduro's ongoing New York trial and potential interim government stabilization, with no scheduled congressional votes or diplomatic deadlines pointing toward war declaration.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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