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Política·Ucrânia

A Rússia vai capturar Pokrovka até...?

Market icon
Política·Ucrânia

A Rússia vai capturar Pokrovka até...?

$47,857 Vol.

Mar 31, 2026
Polymarket

$47,857 Vol.

Polymarket

31 de março

$10,540 Vol.

20%

30 de abril

$110 Vol.

41%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 50.802224° N, 35.379423° E in Pokrovka, Sumy Oblast, by March 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”. For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify. If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established. Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/PK1.png Intersection Location in Pokrovka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/PK2.png Pokrovka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/PK3.png Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/5bGDdDbzTjnHjY418 The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 50.802224° N, 35.379423° E in Pokrovka, Sumy Oblast, by April 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”. For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify. If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established. Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/PK1.png Intersection Location in Pokrovka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/PK2.png Pokrovka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/PK3.png Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/5bGDdDbzTjnHjY418 The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 50.802224° N, 35.379423° E in Pokrovka, Sumy Oblast, by February 28, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”. For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify. If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established. Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/PK1.png Intersection Location in Pokrovka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/PK2.png Pokrovka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/PK3.png Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/5bGDdDbzTjnHjY418 The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.Russian forces continue incremental assaults in the Pokrovsk direction of Donetsk Oblast, targeting settlements southwest of captured Pokrovsk such as Udachne, Kotlyne, and Novopidhorodne, but ISW assessments through March 24 report no confirmed advances amid Ukrainian drone defenses downing around 1,000 Russian drones weekly. Intensified Russian ground attacks and large-scale strikes on March 23-24 reflect preparations for a spring-summer offensive against Ukraine's Fortress Belt including Kostyantynivka and Druzhkivka, though stalled momentum follows Ukrainian counteroffensives reclaiming over 400 sq km in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast earlier in March. No recent claims or footage confirm progress toward Pokrovka specifically; trader consensus emphasizes defensive stalemate and logistical challenges, with Russian mobilized reinforcements slated for April 1 potentially altering escalation.

Russian forces continue incremental assaults in the Pokrovsk direction of Donetsk Oblast, targeting settlements southwest of captured Pokrovsk such as Udachne, Kotlyne, and Novopidhorodne, but ISW assessments through March 24 report no confirmed advances amid Ukrainian drone defenses downing around 1,000 Russian drones weekly. Intensified Russian ground attacks and large-scale strikes on March 23-24 reflect preparations for a spring-summer offensive against Ukraine's Fortress Belt including Kostyantynivka and Druzhkivka, though stalled momentum follows Ukrainian counteroffensives reclaiming over 400 sq km in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast earlier in March. No recent claims or footage confirm progress toward Pokrovka specifically; trader consensus emphasizes defensive stalemate and logistical challenges, with Russian mobilized reinforcements slated for April 1 potentially altering escalation.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 50.802224° N, 35.379423° E in Pokrovka, Sumy Oblast, by March 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”. For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify. If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established. Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/PK1.png Intersection Location in Pokrovka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/PK2.png Pokrovka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/PK3.png Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/5bGDdDbzTjnHjY418 The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 50.802224° N, 35.379423° E in Pokrovka, Sumy Oblast, by April 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”. For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify. If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established. Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/PK1.png Intersection Location in Pokrovka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/PK2.png Pokrovka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/PK3.png Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/5bGDdDbzTjnHjY418 The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 50.802224° N, 35.379423° E in Pokrovka, Sumy Oblast, by February 28, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”. For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify. If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established. Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/PK1.png Intersection Location in Pokrovka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/PK2.png Pokrovka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/PK3.png Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/5bGDdDbzTjnHjY418 The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.Russian forces continue incremental assaults in the Pokrovsk direction of Donetsk Oblast, targeting settlements southwest of captured Pokrovsk such as Udachne, Kotlyne, and Novopidhorodne, but ISW assessments through March 24 report no confirmed advances amid Ukrainian drone defenses downing around 1,000 Russian drones weekly. Intensified Russian ground attacks and large-scale strikes on March 23-24 reflect preparations for a spring-summer offensive against Ukraine's Fortress Belt including Kostyantynivka and Druzhkivka, though stalled momentum follows Ukrainian counteroffensives reclaiming over 400 sq km in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast earlier in March. No recent claims or footage confirm progress toward Pokrovka specifically; trader consensus emphasizes defensive stalemate and logistical challenges, with Russian mobilized reinforcements slated for April 1 potentially altering escalation.

Russian forces continue incremental assaults in the Pokrovsk direction of Donetsk Oblast, targeting settlements southwest of captured Pokrovsk such as Udachne, Kotlyne, and Novopidhorodne, but ISW assessments through March 24 report no confirmed advances amid Ukrainian drone defenses downing around 1,000 Russian drones weekly. Intensified Russian ground attacks and large-scale strikes on March 23-24 reflect preparations for a spring-summer offensive against Ukraine's Fortress Belt including Kostyantynivka and Druzhkivka, though stalled momentum follows Ukrainian counteroffensives reclaiming over 400 sq km in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast earlier in March. No recent claims or footage confirm progress toward Pokrovka specifically; trader consensus emphasizes defensive stalemate and logistical challenges, with Russian mobilized reinforcements slated for April 1 potentially altering escalation.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

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Frequently Asked Questions

"A Rússia vai capturar Pokrovka até...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "30 de abril" at 41%, followed by "31 de março" at 20%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 41¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 41% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "A Rússia vai capturar Pokrovka até...?" has generated $47.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 11, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "A Rússia vai capturar Pokrovka até...?," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "A Rússia vai capturar Pokrovka até...?" is "30 de abril" at 41%, meaning the market assigns a 41% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "31 de março" at 20%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "A Rússia vai capturar Pokrovka até...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.