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Geopolítica·Israel

Quais países reconhecerão Israel até 30 de junho?

Market icon
Geopolítica·Israel

Quais países reconhecerão Israel até 30 de junho?

$88,685 Vol.

Jun 30, 2026
Polymarket

$88,685 Vol.

Polymarket
Market icon

Coreia do Norte

$0 Vol.

4%

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Cuba

$0 Vol.

6%

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Arábia Saudita

$3,350 Vol.

10%

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Líbano

$0 Vol.

6%

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Afeganistão

$0 Vol.

6%

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Iraque

$0 Vol.

5%

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Paquistão

$0 Vol.

7%

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Síria

$4,318 Vol.

9%

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Venezuela

$80,022 Vol.

9%

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Tunísia

$0 Vol.

11%

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Kuwait

$0 Vol.

10%

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Catar

$0 Vol.

8%

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Indonésia

$0 Vol.

7%

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Malásia

$435 Vol.

5%

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Bangladesh

$560 Vol.

10%

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Israel enjoys diplomatic recognition from 163 UN member states as of early 2026, leaving around 28 holdouts, primarily Muslim-majority nations like Saudi Arabia, Indonesia, Pakistan, and Oman, amid longstanding solidarity with Palestinians. No new recognitions have occurred in the past 30 days, with trader consensus reflecting stalled progress on Arab normalization following the Abraham Accords' expansion—highlighted by Kazakhstan's symbolic November 2025 accession (already recognizing since 1992) and Somaliland's mutual ties in December 2025. Recent US pushes, including Senator Lindsey Graham's post-Iran strikes advocacy on March 1 and President Trump's comments tying Saudi ties to regional conflict resolution, signal potential catalysts, though Riyadh demands Palestinian statehood advances. Monitor bilateral summits and security pacts through June 30 resolution.

Israel enjoys diplomatic recognition from 163 UN member states as of early 2026, leaving around 28 holdouts, primarily Muslim-majority nations like Saudi Arabia, Indonesia, Pakistan, and Oman, amid longstanding solidarity with Palestinians. No new recognitions have occurred in the past 30 days, with trader consensus reflecting stalled progress on Arab normalization following the Abraham Accords' expansion—highlighted by Kazakhstan's symbolic November 2025 accession (already recognizing since 1992) and Somaliland's mutual ties in December 2025. Recent US pushes, including Senator Lindsey Graham's post-Iran strikes advocacy on March 1 and President Trump's comments tying Saudi ties to regional conflict resolution, signal potential catalysts, though Riyadh demands Palestinian statehood advances. Monitor bilateral summits and security pacts through June 30 resolution.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Israel enjoys diplomatic recognition from 163 UN member states as of early 2026, leaving around 28 holdouts, primarily Muslim-majority nations like Saudi Arabia, Indonesia, Pakistan, and Oman, amid longstanding solidarity with Palestinians. No new recognitions have occurred in the past 30 days, with trader consensus reflecting stalled progress on Arab normalization following the Abraham Accords' expansion—highlighted by Kazakhstan's symbolic November 2025 accession (already recognizing since 1992) and Somaliland's mutual ties in December 2025. Recent US pushes, including Senator Lindsey Graham's post-Iran strikes advocacy on March 1 and President Trump's comments tying Saudi ties to regional conflict resolution, signal potential catalysts, though Riyadh demands Palestinian statehood advances. Monitor bilateral summits and security pacts through June 30 resolution.

Israel enjoys diplomatic recognition from 163 UN member states as of early 2026, leaving around 28 holdouts, primarily Muslim-majority nations like Saudi Arabia, Indonesia, Pakistan, and Oman, amid longstanding solidarity with Palestinians. No new recognitions have occurred in the past 30 days, with trader consensus reflecting stalled progress on Arab normalization following the Abraham Accords' expansion—highlighted by Kazakhstan's symbolic November 2025 accession (already recognizing since 1992) and Somaliland's mutual ties in December 2025. Recent US pushes, including Senator Lindsey Graham's post-Iran strikes advocacy on March 1 and President Trump's comments tying Saudi ties to regional conflict resolution, signal potential catalysts, though Riyadh demands Palestinian statehood advances. Monitor bilateral summits and security pacts through June 30 resolution.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Quais países reconhecerão Israel até 30 de junho?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Tunísia" at 11%, followed by "Arábia Saudita" at 10%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 11¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 11% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Quais países reconhecerão Israel até 30 de junho?" has generated $88.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 20, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Quais países reconhecerão Israel até 30 de junho?," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Quais países reconhecerão Israel até 30 de junho?" is "Tunísia" at 11%, meaning the market assigns a 11% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Arábia Saudita" at 10%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Quais países reconhecerão Israel até 30 de junho?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.