Russian forces continue incremental assaults along the Pokrovsk direction in Donetsk Oblast, targeting approaches to cities including Dobropillia, Druzhkivka, Kostyantynivka, and Chasiv Yar, as detailed in ISW assessments through April 3, 2026, without confirmed territorial gains in the past week amid heavy fighting and Ukrainian counterattacks. Russia's April 1 claim of full Luhansk Oblast control—disputed by Kyiv—marks the latest major positional shift, following March's net Ukrainian territorial gains of 27 square kilometers through southern counteroffensives. Trader consensus reflects slow Russian progress hampered by attrition, drones, and fortifications, with spring weather and aid flows as key upcoming catalysts that could accelerate advances or bolster defenses before the June 30 ISW map-based resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoEm quais cidades a Rússia entrará até 30 de junho?
Em quais cidades a Rússia entrará até 30 de junho?
$909,122 Vol.
Dopropillia
22%
Druzkhivka
14%
Sloviansk
14%
Kramatorsk
12%
Sumy
6%
Zaporizhia
6%
Kherson
5%
Kharkiv
4%
$909,122 Vol.
Dopropillia
22%
Druzkhivka
14%
Sloviansk
14%
Kramatorsk
12%
Sumy
6%
Zaporizhia
6%
Kherson
5%
Kharkiv
4%
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the city or settlement is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Dec 26, 2025, 4:44 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Territory will be considered captured if any part of the city or settlement is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Russian forces continue incremental assaults along the Pokrovsk direction in Donetsk Oblast, targeting approaches to cities including Dobropillia, Druzhkivka, Kostyantynivka, and Chasiv Yar, as detailed in ISW assessments through April 3, 2026, without confirmed territorial gains in the past week amid heavy fighting and Ukrainian counterattacks. Russia's April 1 claim of full Luhansk Oblast control—disputed by Kyiv—marks the latest major positional shift, following March's net Ukrainian territorial gains of 27 square kilometers through southern counteroffensives. Trader consensus reflects slow Russian progress hampered by attrition, drones, and fortifications, with spring weather and aid flows as key upcoming catalysts that could accelerate advances or bolster defenses before the June 30 ISW map-based resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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