Trader consensus assigns 76% probability to no Zelenskyy-Putin meeting before 2027, driven by the Ukraine war stalemate—Russia demands recognition of annexed territories, while Ukraine insists on full troop withdrawal and reparations. Turkey tops alternatives at 3.8% as a proven neutral venue, bolstered by Erdogan's ongoing mediation push and prior Black Sea grain deal hosting. US odds rose to 2.5% post-Trump's election victory and vows for swift talks, matching Hungary's 2.5% linked to Orban's October 4 Moscow visit urging negotiations. Lower probabilities for Qatar/UAE, Saudi Arabia reflect past Russia-Ukraine diplomacy, but recent Putin statements confirm no imminent summits amid rigid preconditions.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoNenhum encontro antes de 2027 76%
Turquia 3.8%
EUA 2.6%
Hungria 2.6%
$866,032 Vol.
$866,032 Vol.

Nenhum encontro antes de 2027
76%

Turquia
4%

EUA
3%

Hungria
3%

Qatar / Emirados Árabes Unidos
2%

Arábia Saudita
2%

Suíça
1%

Rússia
1%

China
1%

Ucrânia
1%

Belarus
1%

Cazaquistão
1%

Índia
1%

Itália / Vaticano
<1%
Nenhum encontro antes de 2027 76%
Turquia 3.8%
EUA 2.6%
Hungria 2.6%
$866,032 Vol.
$866,032 Vol.

Nenhum encontro antes de 2027
76%

Turquia
4%

EUA
3%

Hungria
3%

Qatar / Emirados Árabes Unidos
2%

Arábia Saudita
2%

Suíça
1%

Rússia
1%

China
1%

Ucrânia
1%

Belarus
1%

Cazaquistão
1%

Índia
1%

Itália / Vaticano
<1%
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Zelenskyy and Putin are both present and interact with each other in person.
For the purpose of this market, a meeting held on Ukrainian territory under the de facto control of Russia (e.g., Crimea) will be considered part of Russia.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Nov 6, 2025, 10:49 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus assigns 76% probability to no Zelenskyy-Putin meeting before 2027, driven by the Ukraine war stalemate—Russia demands recognition of annexed territories, while Ukraine insists on full troop withdrawal and reparations. Turkey tops alternatives at 3.8% as a proven neutral venue, bolstered by Erdogan's ongoing mediation push and prior Black Sea grain deal hosting. US odds rose to 2.5% post-Trump's election victory and vows for swift talks, matching Hungary's 2.5% linked to Orban's October 4 Moscow visit urging negotiations. Lower probabilities for Qatar/UAE, Saudi Arabia reflect past Russia-Ukraine diplomacy, but recent Putin statements confirm no imminent summits amid rigid preconditions.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions