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Tecnologia·IPOs

Qual será a avaliação de IPO da SpaceX?

Market icon
Tecnologia·IPOs

Qual será a avaliação de IPO da SpaceX?

1,75-2,00T 31%

1,50-1,75T 30%

2,00-2,25T 13%

1,25-1,50T 10.1%

Polymarket

$85,060 Vol.

1,75-2,00T 31%

1,50-1,75T 30%

2,00-2,25T 13%

1,25-1,50T 10.1%

Polymarket

$85,060 Vol.

<1,25T

$53,000 Vol.

5%

1,25-1,50T

$8,257 Vol.

10%

1,50-1,75T

$4,336 Vol.

30%

1,75-2,00T

$3,594 Vol.

31%

2,00-2,25T

$3,143 Vol.

13%

2,25-2,50T

$6,284 Vol.

9%

2,50T+

$6,448 Vol.

6%

This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price. The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered. Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered. If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range. If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader sentiment on Polymarket clusters tightly around the 1.50-2.00 trillion valuation bins for SpaceX's anticipated IPO, with 1.75-2.00T at 31% and 1.50-1.75T at 29.5% implied probabilities, reflecting reports of a potential record $75 billion-plus confidential filing this week targeting up to $1.75 trillion amid surging Starlink revenue projections of $16 billion and $7.5 billion EBITDA for 2025 per Morningstar estimates. Recent tender offers valued the firm at $800 billion in December 2025, but accelerated growth in satellite deployments exceeding 9,500 units and a rumored xAI merger adding AI synergies have propelled expectations higher, though a perceived Musk premium versus fundamentals like Starship milestones introduces uncertainty. Key swing factors include the forthcoming S-1 filing details and mid-June listing timeline, with broader equity market conditions poised to influence final pricing.

This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.

The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.

The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.

Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.

If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.

If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$85,060
Mercado Aberto
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price. The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered. Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered. If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range. If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price. The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered. Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered. If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range. If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader sentiment on Polymarket clusters tightly around the 1.50-2.00 trillion valuation bins for SpaceX's anticipated IPO, with 1.75-2.00T at 31% and 1.50-1.75T at 29.5% implied probabilities, reflecting reports of a potential record $75 billion-plus confidential filing this week targeting up to $1.75 trillion amid surging Starlink revenue projections of $16 billion and $7.5 billion EBITDA for 2025 per Morningstar estimates. Recent tender offers valued the firm at $800 billion in December 2025, but accelerated growth in satellite deployments exceeding 9,500 units and a rumored xAI merger adding AI synergies have propelled expectations higher, though a perceived Musk premium versus fundamentals like Starship milestones introduces uncertainty. Key swing factors include the forthcoming S-1 filing details and mid-June listing timeline, with broader equity market conditions poised to influence final pricing.

This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.

The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.

The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.

Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.

If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.

If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$85,060
Mercado Aberto
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price. The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered. Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered. If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range. If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Qual será a avaliação de IPO da SpaceX?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "1,75-2,00T" at 31%, followed by "1,50-1,75T" at 30%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 31¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 31% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Qual será a avaliação de IPO da SpaceX?" has generated $85.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 25, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Qual será a avaliação de IPO da SpaceX?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Qual será a avaliação de IPO da SpaceX?" is "1,75-2,00T" at 31%, meaning the market assigns a 31% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "1,50-1,75T" at 30%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Qual será a avaliação de IPO da SpaceX?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.