Market icon

2ª pessoa mais rica em 31 de dezembro?

Market icon

2ª pessoa mais rica em 31 de dezembro?

Jeff Bezos 35.7%

Larry Page 27%

Sergey Brin 15%

Warren Buffett 14.6%

Polymarket
NOVO

Jeff Bezos 35.7%

Larry Page 27%

Sergey Brin 15%

Warren Buffett 14.6%

Polymarket
NOVO
Market icon

Jeff Bezos

$627 Vol.

36%

Market icon

Larry Page

$1,489 Vol.

27%

Market icon

Sergey Brin

$1,334 Vol.

28%

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Warren Buffett

$1,069 Vol.

15%

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Mark Zuckerberg

$240 Vol.

17%

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Elon Musk

$494 Vol.

7%

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Bernard Arnault

$417 Vol.

6%

Market icon

Larry Ellison

$453 Vol.

15%

Market icon

Steve Ballmer

$420 Vol.

3%

Market icon

Jensen Huang

$527 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.Trader consensus positions Jeff Bezos as the frontrunner at 35.8% implied probability to be the world's second-richest person by December 31, 2026, edging out Alphabet co-founders Sergey Brin (28%) and Larry Page (27.5%) amid a tight race driven by volatile tech stock trajectories. Recent market slumps through late March erased tens of billions from Meta and Oracle fortunes, widening the gap for Zuckerberg (17%) and Ellison (15.5%), while Amazon's relative resilience—down only 11% year-to-date versus sharper drops elsewhere—bolstered Bezos' momentum. Key differentiators include AWS cloud dominance and e-commerce recovery potential outpacing Alphabet's AI gains, tempered by antitrust scrutiny; upcoming Q2 earnings and Fed rate signals loom as pivotal catalysts in this high-stakes wealth showdown.

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Volume
$7,070
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 30, 2026, 6:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.Trader consensus positions Jeff Bezos as the frontrunner at 35.8% implied probability to be the world's second-richest person by December 31, 2026, edging out Alphabet co-founders Sergey Brin (28%) and Larry Page (27.5%) amid a tight race driven by volatile tech stock trajectories. Recent market slumps through late March erased tens of billions from Meta and Oracle fortunes, widening the gap for Zuckerberg (17%) and Ellison (15.5%), while Amazon's relative resilience—down only 11% year-to-date versus sharper drops elsewhere—bolstered Bezos' momentum. Key differentiators include AWS cloud dominance and e-commerce recovery potential outpacing Alphabet's AI gains, tempered by antitrust scrutiny; upcoming Q2 earnings and Fed rate signals loom as pivotal catalysts in this high-stakes wealth showdown.

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Volume
$7,070
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 30, 2026, 6:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"2ª pessoa mais rica em 31 de dezembro?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Jeff Bezos" at 36%, followed by "Larry Page" at 28%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 36¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"2ª pessoa mais rica em 31 de dezembro?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jan 30, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "2ª pessoa mais rica em 31 de dezembro?," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2ª pessoa mais rica em 31 de dezembro?" is "Jeff Bezos" at 36%, meaning the market assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Larry Page" at 28%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2ª pessoa mais rica em 31 de dezembro?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.