Market icon

2ª pessoa mais rica em 31 de dezembro?

Market icon

2ª pessoa mais rica em 31 de dezembro?

Larry Page 48%

Jeff Bezos 27.2%

Elon Musk 17%

Sergey Brin 15%

Polymarket
NOVO

Larry Page 48%

Jeff Bezos 27.2%

Elon Musk 17%

Sergey Brin 15%

Polymarket
NOVO
Market icon

Larry Page

$1,530 Vol.

43%

Market icon

Jeff Bezos

$627 Vol.

27%

Market icon

Elon Musk

$521 Vol.

14%

Market icon

Sergey Brin

$1,347 Vol.

21%

Market icon

Mark Zuckerberg

$254 Vol.

17%

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Warren Buffett

$1,069 Vol.

9%

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Bernard Arnault

$462 Vol.

6%

Market icon

Larry Ellison

$473 Vol.

11%

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Steve Ballmer

$421 Vol.

3%

Market icon

Jensen Huang

$550 Vol.

9%

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.Trader consensus favors Larry Page as the frontrunner at 42% implied probability to be the world's second-richest person by December 31, anchored by his current second-place standing with over $260 billion net worth on Forbes and Bloomberg real-time lists, fueled by Alphabet's AI momentum including today's TurboQuant algorithm breakthrough reducing AI memory needs. Jeff Bezos at 27% gained ground recently, overtaking Sergey Brin for third/fourth after Amazon's cloud gains, while Brin's 23% reflects shared Alphabet exposure but slight lag. Elon Musk's 13.5% odds for second stem from Tesla's Q1 delivery shortfalls and recent 5% stock drop erasing $22 billion. Zuckerberg (17%), Huang, and others trail amid volatile tech trajectories, with Q2 earnings as pivotal catalysts.

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Volume
$7,255
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 30, 2026, 6:48 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.Trader consensus favors Larry Page as the frontrunner at 42% implied probability to be the world's second-richest person by December 31, anchored by his current second-place standing with over $260 billion net worth on Forbes and Bloomberg real-time lists, fueled by Alphabet's AI momentum including today's TurboQuant algorithm breakthrough reducing AI memory needs. Jeff Bezos at 27% gained ground recently, overtaking Sergey Brin for third/fourth after Amazon's cloud gains, while Brin's 23% reflects shared Alphabet exposure but slight lag. Elon Musk's 13.5% odds for second stem from Tesla's Q1 delivery shortfalls and recent 5% stock drop erasing $22 billion. Zuckerberg (17%), Huang, and others trail amid volatile tech trajectories, with Q2 earnings as pivotal catalysts.

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Volume
$7,255
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 30, 2026, 6:48 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"2ª pessoa mais rica em 31 de dezembro?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Larry Page" at 43%, followed by "Jeff Bezos" at 27%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 43¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 43% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"2ª pessoa mais rica em 31 de dezembro?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jan 30, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "2ª pessoa mais rica em 31 de dezembro?," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2ª pessoa mais rica em 31 de dezembro?" is "Larry Page" at 43%, meaning the market assigns a 43% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jeff Bezos" at 27%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2ª pessoa mais rica em 31 de dezembro?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.