Market icon

3rd richest person on December 31?

Market icon

3rd richest person on December 31?

Mark Zuckerberg 30%

Sergey Brin 24%

Warren Buffett 18%

Bernard Arnault 16%

Polymarket

$21,725 Vol.

Mark Zuckerberg 30%

Sergey Brin 24%

Warren Buffett 18%

Bernard Arnault 16%

Polymarket

$21,725 Vol.

Market icon

Mark Zuckerberg

$434 Vol.

30%

Market icon

Sergey Brin

$250 Vol.

31%

Market icon

Warren Buffett

$355 Vol.

18%

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Bernard Arnault

$199 Vol.

16%

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Jeff Bezos

$217 Vol.

18%

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Jensen Huang

$406 Vol.

27%

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Elon Musk

$207 Vol.

12%

Market icon

Larry Ellison

$0 Vol.

21%

Market icon

Steve Ballmer

$13,121 Vol.

7%

Market icon

Larry Page

$6,538 Vol.

17%

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #3 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Sergey Brin as the slight frontrunner at 32.5% implied probability to claim third-richest status by December 31, fueled by Alphabet's AI resurgence and recent $9.9 billion daily net worth surge to $230 billion, tying Jeff Bezos while trailing stable leader Larry Page at $247 billion. Mark Zuckerberg trails closely at 27.5% ($203 billion, +$12.2 billion daily) on Meta's aggressive AI investments, with Nvidia's Jensen Huang at 26.5% ($144 billion) buoyed by chip dominance despite smaller ownership stake. Key differentiators include founders' equity percentages, AI momentum trajectories, and year-end earnings volatility, as tech titans vie amid broader market swings—watch Q2 reports for potential shifts in this high-stakes cultural wealth showdown.

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #3 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Volume
$21,725
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 30, 2026, 6:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #3 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #3 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Sergey Brin as the slight frontrunner at 32.5% implied probability to claim third-richest status by December 31, fueled by Alphabet's AI resurgence and recent $9.9 billion daily net worth surge to $230 billion, tying Jeff Bezos while trailing stable leader Larry Page at $247 billion. Mark Zuckerberg trails closely at 27.5% ($203 billion, +$12.2 billion daily) on Meta's aggressive AI investments, with Nvidia's Jensen Huang at 26.5% ($144 billion) buoyed by chip dominance despite smaller ownership stake. Key differentiators include founders' equity percentages, AI momentum trajectories, and year-end earnings volatility, as tech titans vie amid broader market swings—watch Q2 reports for potential shifts in this high-stakes cultural wealth showdown.

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #3 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Volume
$21,725
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 30, 2026, 6:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #3 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"3rd richest person on December 31?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Sergey Brin" at 32%, followed by "Mark Zuckerberg" at 30%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 32¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 32% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "3rd richest person on December 31?" has generated $21.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 30, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "3rd richest person on December 31?," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "3rd richest person on December 31?" is "Sergey Brin" at 32%, meaning the market assigns a 32% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Mark Zuckerberg" at 30%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "3rd richest person on December 31?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.