US special forces entered Venezuela on January 3, 2026, during Operation Absolute Resolve, conducting airstrikes near Caracas and a Delta Force raid at Fort Tiuna to capture President Nicolás Maduro and his wife on narcoterrorism charges; troops withdrew immediately after without establishing occupation. Acting President Delcy Rodríguez now leads an interim government cooperating on oil exports—reaching 800,000 barrels daily—and political prisoner releases exceeding 600 by early March, prompting US embassy reopening in Caracas on March 30 and sanctions relief on Rodríguez April 1. Naval enforcement persists for oil quarantine and drug interdiction, but no ground presence remains. Traders weigh re-entry risks amid diplomatic stabilization, potential María Corina Machado return, and Maduro's ongoing New York trial against Trump administration oversight via economic levers rather than military escalation.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado$1,257,535 Vol.
31 jan 2026
31 de março
1%
30 de junho
13%
$1,257,535 Vol.
31 de março
$3,502 Vol.
1%
30 de junho
$173,944 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US special forces entered Venezuela on January 3, 2026, during Operation Absolute Resolve, conducting airstrikes near Caracas and a Delta Force raid at Fort Tiuna to capture President Nicolás Maduro and his wife on narcoterrorism charges; troops withdrew immediately after without establishing occupation. Acting President Delcy Rodríguez now leads an interim government cooperating on oil exports—reaching 800,000 barrels daily—and political prisoner releases exceeding 600 by early March, prompting US embassy reopening in Caracas on March 30 and sanctions relief on Rodríguez April 1. Naval enforcement persists for oil quarantine and drug interdiction, but no ground presence remains. Traders weigh re-entry risks amid diplomatic stabilization, potential María Corina Machado return, and Maduro's ongoing New York trial against Trump administration oversight via economic levers rather than military escalation.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Jan 3, 2026, 9:22 AM ET
Volume
$1,257,535Data de Término
30 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 3, 2026, 9:22 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US special forces entered Venezuela on January 3, 2026, during Operation Absolute Resolve, conducting airstrikes near Caracas and a Delta Force raid at Fort Tiuna to capture President Nicolás Maduro and his wife on narcoterrorism charges; troops withdrew immediately after without establishing occupation. Acting President Delcy Rodríguez now leads an interim government cooperating on oil exports—reaching 800,000 barrels daily—and political prisoner releases exceeding 600 by early March, prompting US embassy reopening in Caracas on March 30 and sanctions relief on Rodríguez April 1. Naval enforcement persists for oil quarantine and drug interdiction, but no ground presence remains. Traders weigh re-entry risks amid diplomatic stabilization, potential María Corina Machado return, and Maduro's ongoing New York trial against Trump administration oversight via economic levers rather than military escalation.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,257,535Data de Término
30 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 3, 2026, 9:22 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
US special forces entered Venezuela on January 3, 2026, during Operation Absolute Resolve, conducting airstrikes near Caracas and a Delta Force raid at Fort Tiuna to capture President Nicolás Maduro and his wife on narcoterrorism charges; troops withdrew immediately after without establishing occupation. Acting President Delcy Rodríguez now leads an interim government cooperating on oil exports—reaching 800,000 barrels daily—and political prisoner releases exceeding 600 by early March, prompting US embassy reopening in Caracas on March 30 and sanctions relief on Rodríguez April 1. Naval enforcement persists for oil quarantine and drug interdiction, but no ground presence remains. Traders weigh re-entry risks amid diplomatic stabilization, potential María Corina Machado return, and Maduro's ongoing New York trial against Trump administration oversight via economic levers rather than military escalation.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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