Trader consensus prices Democratic Party challenger Kim Sang-wook at 80.5% implied probability to win the June 3 Ulsan mayoral election, reflecting his lead in the latest April 17 poll showing 38.9% support in a five-way race versus incumbent People Power Party Mayor Kim Doo-kyum's 29.2%, with head-to-head margins favoring Kim Sang-wook by over 11 points amid vote-splitting by Progressive Party's Kim Jong-hun and independents like Park Maeng-woo. Kim Sang-wook's recent defection from PPP broadens his appeal in conservative-leaning industrial Ulsan, capitalizing on anti-incumbent sentiment. Incumbent Kim Doo-kyum plans early resignation on April 29 to refocus campaigning, while opposition unification talks persist as a potential volatility factor ahead of the first-past-the-post vote.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoUlsan Mayoral Election Winner
Ulsan Mayoral Election Winner

Kim Sang-wook
81%

Kim Doo-kyum
18%

Kim Sang-wook
81%

Kim Doo-kyum
18%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Interim, temporary, or caretaker mayors will not count.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
Mercado Aberto: Apr 23, 2026, 6:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Interim, temporary, or caretaker mayors will not count.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus prices Democratic Party challenger Kim Sang-wook at 80.5% implied probability to win the June 3 Ulsan mayoral election, reflecting his lead in the latest April 17 poll showing 38.9% support in a five-way race versus incumbent People Power Party Mayor Kim Doo-kyum's 29.2%, with head-to-head margins favoring Kim Sang-wook by over 11 points amid vote-splitting by Progressive Party's Kim Jong-hun and independents like Park Maeng-woo. Kim Sang-wook's recent defection from PPP broadens his appeal in conservative-leaning industrial Ulsan, capitalizing on anti-incumbent sentiment. Incumbent Kim Doo-kyum plans early resignation on April 29 to refocus campaigning, while opposition unification talks persist as a potential volatility factor ahead of the first-past-the-post vote.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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