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Política·Gabinete

Membro do gabinete de Trump fora até...?

Market icon
Política·Gabinete

Membro do gabinete de Trump fora até...?

$16,678 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$16,678 Vol.

Polymarket

31 de março de 2026

$10,442 Vol.

90%

30 de junho de 2026

$6,236 Vol.

99%

31 de dezembro de 2026

$0 Vol.

99%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one cabinet-level Donald Trump appointee from his second term leaves their position between market creation and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Voluntary resignations, removals, retirements, or departures for any reason will count. Announcements alone will not qualify toward this market's resolution. An individual must actually have left their cabinet-level position. For the purpose of this market, a Cabinet level position is defined as the heads of the 15 executive departments, Administrator of the EPA, President’s Chief of Staff, Director of National Intelligence, Director of OMB, Director of CIA, United States Trade Representative, Ambassador to the UN, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, Administrator of the SBA, and Director of OSTP or any position listed on https://www.whitehouse.gov/administration/the-cabinet. Temporary or acting officials will not count toward this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one cabinet-level Donald Trump appointee from his second term leaves their position between market creation and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Voluntary resignations, removals, retirements, or departures for any reason will count. Announcements alone will not qualify toward this market's resolution. An individual must actually have left their cabinet-level position. For the purpose of this market, a Cabinet level position is defined as the heads of the 15 executive departments, Administrator of the EPA, President’s Chief of Staff, Director of National Intelligence, Director of OMB, Director of CIA, United States Trade Representative, Ambassador to the UN, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, Administrator of the SBA, and Director of OSTP or any position listed on https://www.whitehouse.gov/administration/the-cabinet. Temporary or acting officials will not count toward this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one cabinet-level Donald Trump appointee from his second term leaves their position between market creation and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Voluntary resignations, removals, retirements, or departures for any reason will count. Announcements alone will not qualify toward this market's resolution. An individual must actually have left their cabinet-level position. For the purpose of this market, a Cabinet level position is defined as the heads of the 15 executive departments, Administrator of the EPA, President’s Chief of Staff, Director of National Intelligence, Director of OMB, Director of CIA, United States Trade Representative, Ambassador to the UN, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, Administrator of the SBA, and Director of OSTP or any position listed on https://www.whitehouse.gov/administration/the-cabinet. Temporary or acting officials will not count toward this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one cabinet-level Donald Trump appointee from his second term leaves their position between market creation and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Voluntary resignations, removals, retirements, or departures for any reason will count.

Announcements alone will not qualify toward this market's resolution. An individual must actually have left their cabinet-level position.

For the purpose of this market, a Cabinet level position is defined as the heads of the 15 executive departments, Administrator of the EPA, President’s Chief of Staff, Director of National Intelligence, Director of OMB, Director of CIA, United States Trade Representative, Ambassador to the UN, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, Administrator of the SBA, and Director of OSTP or any position listed on https://www.whitehouse.gov/administration/the-cabinet.

Temporary or acting officials will not count toward this market's resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$16,678
Data de Término
Dec 31, 2026
Mercado Aberto
Feb 4, 2026, 2:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one cabinet-level Donald Trump appointee from his second term leaves their position between market creation and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Voluntary resignations, removals, retirements, or departures for any reason will count. Announcements alone will not qualify toward this market's resolution. An individual must actually have left their cabinet-level position. For the purpose of this market, a Cabinet level position is defined as the heads of the 15 executive departments, Administrator of the EPA, President’s Chief of Staff, Director of National Intelligence, Director of OMB, Director of CIA, United States Trade Representative, Ambassador to the UN, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, Administrator of the SBA, and Director of OSTP or any position listed on https://www.whitehouse.gov/administration/the-cabinet. Temporary or acting officials will not count toward this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one cabinet-level Donald Trump appointee from his second term leaves their position between market creation and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Voluntary resignations, removals, retirements, or departures for any reason will count. Announcements alone will not qualify toward this market's resolution. An individual must actually have left their cabinet-level position. For the purpose of this market, a Cabinet level position is defined as the heads of the 15 executive departments, Administrator of the EPA, President’s Chief of Staff, Director of National Intelligence, Director of OMB, Director of CIA, United States Trade Representative, Ambassador to the UN, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, Administrator of the SBA, and Director of OSTP or any position listed on https://www.whitehouse.gov/administration/the-cabinet. Temporary or acting officials will not count toward this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one cabinet-level Donald Trump appointee from his second term leaves their position between market creation and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Voluntary resignations, removals, retirements, or departures for any reason will count. Announcements alone will not qualify toward this market's resolution. An individual must actually have left their cabinet-level position. For the purpose of this market, a Cabinet level position is defined as the heads of the 15 executive departments, Administrator of the EPA, President’s Chief of Staff, Director of National Intelligence, Director of OMB, Director of CIA, United States Trade Representative, Ambassador to the UN, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, Administrator of the SBA, and Director of OSTP or any position listed on https://www.whitehouse.gov/administration/the-cabinet. Temporary or acting officials will not count toward this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one cabinet-level Donald Trump appointee from his second term leaves their position between market creation and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Voluntary resignations, removals, retirements, or departures for any reason will count. Announcements alone will not qualify toward this market's resolution. An individual must actually have left their cabinet-level position. For the purpose of this market, a Cabinet level position is defined as the heads of the 15 executive departments, Administrator of the EPA, President’s Chief of Staff, Director of National Intelligence, Director of OMB, Director of CIA, United States Trade Representative, Ambassador to the UN, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, Administrator of the SBA, and Director of OSTP or any position listed on https://www.whitehouse.gov/administration/the-cabinet. Temporary or acting officials will not count toward this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Membro do gabinete de Trump fora até...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "30 de junho de 2026" at 99%, followed by "31 de dezembro de 2026" at 99%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 99¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Membro do gabinete de Trump fora até...?" has generated $16.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 4, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Membro do gabinete de Trump fora até...?," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Membro do gabinete de Trump fora até...?" is "30 de junho de 2026" at 99%, meaning the market assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "31 de dezembro de 2026" at 99%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Membro do gabinete de Trump fora até...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.