Incumbent Democratic Senator Cory Booker's dominant fundraising—$30 million raised with $22 million cash on hand as of late 2025—combined with New Jersey's reliable Democratic trifecta and historical U.S. Senate margins (e.g., his 57%-41% 2020 win) underpin trader consensus implying 92.5% odds for a Democratic victory in the November 3 general election. The March 23 filing deadline yielded a fragmented Republican primary field of four low-resource challengers, including former reporter Alex Zdan and physician Robert Lebovics, rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report and others, with no polls challenging Booker's presumptive nomination on June 2. While a consolidated GOP nominee or Booker's scandal could shift dynamics amid midterm volatility, structural barriers favor Democrats.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado$14,332 Vol.
$14,332 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrata
93%
Republicano
6%
$14,332 Vol.
$14,332 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrata
$6,465 Vol.
93%
Republicano
$7,867 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Jersey U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Senator Cory Booker's dominant fundraising—$30 million raised with $22 million cash on hand as of late 2025—combined with New Jersey's reliable Democratic trifecta and historical U.S. Senate margins (e.g., his 57%-41% 2020 win) underpin trader consensus implying 92.5% odds for a Democratic victory in the November 3 general election. The March 23 filing deadline yielded a fragmented Republican primary field of four low-resource challengers, including former reporter Alex Zdan and physician Robert Lebovics, rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report and others, with no polls challenging Booker's presumptive nomination on June 2. While a consolidated GOP nominee or Booker's scandal could shift dynamics amid midterm volatility, structural barriers favor Democrats.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Jersey U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado Aberto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Volume
$14,332Data de Término
Nov 3, 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Jersey U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Senator Cory Booker's dominant fundraising—$30 million raised with $22 million cash on hand as of late 2025—combined with New Jersey's reliable Democratic trifecta and historical U.S. Senate margins (e.g., his 57%-41% 2020 win) underpin trader consensus implying 92.5% odds for a Democratic victory in the November 3 general election. The March 23 filing deadline yielded a fragmented Republican primary field of four low-resource challengers, including former reporter Alex Zdan and physician Robert Lebovics, rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report and others, with no polls challenging Booker's presumptive nomination on June 2. While a consolidated GOP nominee or Booker's scandal could shift dynamics amid midterm volatility, structural barriers favor Democrats.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Jersey U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$14,332Data de Término
Nov 3, 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Senator Cory Booker's dominant fundraising—$30 million raised with $22 million cash on hand as of late 2025—combined with New Jersey's reliable Democratic trifecta and historical U.S. Senate margins (e.g., his 57%-41% 2020 win) underpin trader consensus implying 92.5% odds for a Democratic victory in the November 3 general election. The March 23 filing deadline yielded a fragmented Republican primary field of four low-resource challengers, including former reporter Alex Zdan and physician Robert Lebovics, rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report and others, with no polls challenging Booker's presumptive nomination on June 2. While a consolidated GOP nominee or Booker's scandal could shift dynamics amid midterm volatility, structural barriers favor Democrats.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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