Incumbent Republican Governor Joe Lombardo holds a slim edge over Democratic Attorney General Aaron Ford in the latest March polling from Noble Predictive Insights (39%-38%, 17% undecided), mirroring trader consensus in this battleground state's tossup race ahead of June primaries. Nevada's electoral math favors tight contests, with Lombardo leading among independents, white voters, and men, while Ford dominates Hispanics and women; outcomes in Clark and Washoe Counties will prove decisive amid high undecideds and third-party support at 6%. Lombardo's $15 million war chest and uncontested GOP primary bolster his position, but Democratic insurgents like Hansen and Winterhawk could splinter their field. Separation may emerge from primary results, national midterm trends favoring Democrats on generic ballots (40%-36%), or shifts in voter turnout and economy-focused messaging.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado$18,327 Vol.
$18,327 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrata
50%
Republicano
49%
$18,327 Vol.
$18,327 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrata
$3,806 Vol.
50%
Republicano
$14,521 Vol.
49%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Governor Joe Lombardo holds a slim edge over Democratic Attorney General Aaron Ford in the latest March polling from Noble Predictive Insights (39%-38%, 17% undecided), mirroring trader consensus in this battleground state's tossup race ahead of June primaries. Nevada's electoral math favors tight contests, with Lombardo leading among independents, white voters, and men, while Ford dominates Hispanics and women; outcomes in Clark and Washoe Counties will prove decisive amid high undecideds and third-party support at 6%. Lombardo's $15 million war chest and uncontested GOP primary bolster his position, but Democratic insurgents like Hansen and Winterhawk could splinter their field. Separation may emerge from primary results, national midterm trends favoring Democrats on generic ballots (40%-36%), or shifts in voter turnout and economy-focused messaging.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado Aberto: Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Volume
$18,327Data de Término
Nov 3, 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Governor Joe Lombardo holds a slim edge over Democratic Attorney General Aaron Ford in the latest March polling from Noble Predictive Insights (39%-38%, 17% undecided), mirroring trader consensus in this battleground state's tossup race ahead of June primaries. Nevada's electoral math favors tight contests, with Lombardo leading among independents, white voters, and men, while Ford dominates Hispanics and women; outcomes in Clark and Washoe Counties will prove decisive amid high undecideds and third-party support at 6%. Lombardo's $15 million war chest and uncontested GOP primary bolster his position, but Democratic insurgents like Hansen and Winterhawk could splinter their field. Separation may emerge from primary results, national midterm trends favoring Democrats on generic ballots (40%-36%), or shifts in voter turnout and economy-focused messaging.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$18,327Data de Término
Nov 3, 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Governor Joe Lombardo holds a slim edge over Democratic Attorney General Aaron Ford in the latest March polling from Noble Predictive Insights (39%-38%, 17% undecided), mirroring trader consensus in this battleground state's tossup race ahead of June primaries. Nevada's electoral math favors tight contests, with Lombardo leading among independents, white voters, and men, while Ford dominates Hispanics and women; outcomes in Clark and Washoe Counties will prove decisive amid high undecideds and third-party support at 6%. Lombardo's $15 million war chest and uncontested GOP primary bolster his position, but Democratic insurgents like Hansen and Winterhawk could splinter their field. Separation may emerge from primary results, national midterm trends favoring Democrats on generic ballots (40%-36%), or shifts in voter turnout and economy-focused messaging.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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