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Eleições·MIDTERMS

Vencedor da eleição para governador do Maine

Market icon
Eleições·MIDTERMS

Vencedor da eleição para governador do Maine

NEW
Polymarket
NEW
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Democrata

$0 Vol.

90%

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Republicano

$0 Vol.

9%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Gov. Janet Mills' term limit opens the 2026 Maine gubernatorial race, with primaries June 9 and general election November 3 under plurality voting. Forecasters rate it Lean or Likely Democratic, aligning with Maine's partisan tilt favoring Democrats in recent cycles despite a split 2020 presidential outcome. Recent polls, including Impact Research (March 19–23), show Nirav Shah leading the crowded Democratic primary at 31% first-round ranked-choice support, while Republican Robert Charles holds 26–28% amid eight candidates and high undecideds. A March 25 Republican debate failed to consolidate the fragmented GOP field, reinforcing trader consensus at 90% implied probability for the Democratic nominee amid unfamiliarity with Republicans and structural state advantages. Late scandals or national midterm dynamics could shift odds before resolution based on official certified results.

Incumbent Democratic Gov. Janet Mills' term limit opens the 2026 Maine gubernatorial race, with primaries June 9 and general election November 3 under plurality voting. Forecasters rate it Lean or Likely Democratic, aligning with Maine's partisan tilt favoring Democrats in recent cycles despite a split 2020 presidential outcome. Recent polls, including Impact Research (March 19–23), show Nirav Shah leading the crowded Democratic primary at 31% first-round ranked-choice support, while Republican Robert Charles holds 26–28% amid eight candidates and high undecideds. A March 25 Republican debate failed to consolidate the fragmented GOP field, reinforcing trader consensus at 90% implied probability for the Democratic nominee amid unfamiliarity with Republicans and structural state advantages. Late scandals or national midterm dynamics could shift odds before resolution based on official certified results.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Gov. Janet Mills' term limit opens the 2026 Maine gubernatorial race, with primaries June 9 and general election November 3 under plurality voting. Forecasters rate it Lean or Likely Democratic, aligning with Maine's partisan tilt favoring Democrats in recent cycles despite a split 2020 presidential outcome. Recent polls, including Impact Research (March 19–23), show Nirav Shah leading the crowded Democratic primary at 31% first-round ranked-choice support, while Republican Robert Charles holds 26–28% amid eight candidates and high undecideds. A March 25 Republican debate failed to consolidate the fragmented GOP field, reinforcing trader consensus at 90% implied probability for the Democratic nominee amid unfamiliarity with Republicans and structural state advantages. Late scandals or national midterm dynamics could shift odds before resolution based on official certified results.

Incumbent Democratic Gov. Janet Mills' term limit opens the 2026 Maine gubernatorial race, with primaries June 9 and general election November 3 under plurality voting. Forecasters rate it Lean or Likely Democratic, aligning with Maine's partisan tilt favoring Democrats in recent cycles despite a split 2020 presidential outcome. Recent polls, including Impact Research (March 19–23), show Nirav Shah leading the crowded Democratic primary at 31% first-round ranked-choice support, while Republican Robert Charles holds 26–28% amid eight candidates and high undecideds. A March 25 Republican debate failed to consolidate the fragmented GOP field, reinforcing trader consensus at 90% implied probability for the Democratic nominee amid unfamiliarity with Republicans and structural state advantages. Late scandals or national midterm dynamics could shift odds before resolution based on official certified results.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da eleição para governador do Maine" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Democrata" at 90%, followed by "Republicano" at 9%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 90¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 90% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Vencedor da eleição para governador do Maine" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Oct 13, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Vencedor da eleição para governador do Maine," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da eleição para governador do Maine" is "Democrata" at 90%, meaning the market assigns a 90% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Republicano" at 9%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da eleição para governador do Maine" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.