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Economia·Negócios

Maior empresa no final de dezembro de 2026?

Market icon
Economia·Negócios

Maior empresa no final de dezembro de 2026?

Mar 31

Apr 30

Jun 30

Dec 31

Mar 31

Apr 30

Jun 30

Dec 31

NVIDIA 68%

Apple 16%

Alphabet 12%

Tesla 2.2%

Polymarket

$1,399,153 Vol.

NVIDIA 68%

Apple 16%

Alphabet 12%

Tesla 2.2%

Polymarket

$1,399,153 Vol.

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NVIDIA

$249,435 Vol.

68%

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Apple

$113,193 Vol.

16%

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Alphabet

$142,919 Vol.

12%

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Tesla

$161,577 Vol.

2%

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Microsoft

$216,248 Vol.

2%

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Saudi Aramco

$309,935 Vol.

1%

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Amazon

$192,393 Vol.

1%

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SpaceX

$13,454 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 67.5% implied probability to NVIDIA emerging as the largest company by market capitalization at December 2026 close, anchored by its current $4.07 trillion lead—over $400 billion ahead of Apple ($3.66 trillion) and $760 billion versus Alphabet ($3.31 trillion)—bolstered by fiscal 2026 revenue surging to $216 billion, a 65% year-over-year increase driven by explosive AI data center demand for Hopper and Blackwell GPUs. Apple's 16% odds reflect steady services revenue growth post its record Q1 fiscal 2026 at $144 billion, though iPhone cyclicality caps upside; Alphabet's 11.5% stems from search dominance amid $175-185 billion 2026 capex for AI infrastructure. NVIDIA's Q1 fiscal 2027 earnings in late May loom as a key sentiment catalyst.

Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 67.5% implied probability to NVIDIA emerging as the largest company by market capitalization at December 2026 close, anchored by its current $4.07 trillion lead—over $400 billion ahead of Apple ($3.66 trillion) and $760 billion versus Alphabet ($3.31 trillion)—bolstered by fiscal 2026 revenue surging to $216 billion, a 65% year-over-year increase driven by explosive AI data center demand for Hopper and Blackwell GPUs. Apple's 16% odds reflect steady services revenue growth post its record Q1 fiscal 2026 at $144 billion, though iPhone cyclicality caps upside; Alphabet's 11.5% stems from search dominance amid $175-185 billion 2026 capex for AI infrastructure. NVIDIA's Q1 fiscal 2027 earnings in late May loom as a key sentiment catalyst.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 67.5% implied probability to NVIDIA emerging as the largest company by market capitalization at December 2026 close, anchored by its current $4.07 trillion lead—over $400 billion ahead of Apple ($3.66 trillion) and $760 billion versus Alphabet ($3.31 trillion)—bolstered by fiscal 2026 revenue surging to $216 billion, a 65% year-over-year increase driven by explosive AI data center demand for Hopper and Blackwell GPUs. Apple's 16% odds reflect steady services revenue growth post its record Q1 fiscal 2026 at $144 billion, though iPhone cyclicality caps upside; Alphabet's 11.5% stems from search dominance amid $175-185 billion 2026 capex for AI infrastructure. NVIDIA's Q1 fiscal 2027 earnings in late May loom as a key sentiment catalyst.

Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 67.5% implied probability to NVIDIA emerging as the largest company by market capitalization at December 2026 close, anchored by its current $4.07 trillion lead—over $400 billion ahead of Apple ($3.66 trillion) and $760 billion versus Alphabet ($3.31 trillion)—bolstered by fiscal 2026 revenue surging to $216 billion, a 65% year-over-year increase driven by explosive AI data center demand for Hopper and Blackwell GPUs. Apple's 16% odds reflect steady services revenue growth post its record Q1 fiscal 2026 at $144 billion, though iPhone cyclicality caps upside; Alphabet's 11.5% stems from search dominance amid $175-185 billion 2026 capex for AI infrastructure. NVIDIA's Q1 fiscal 2027 earnings in late May loom as a key sentiment catalyst.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Maior empresa no final de dezembro de 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "NVIDIA" at 68%, followed by "Apple" at 16%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 68¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 68% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Maior empresa no final de dezembro de 2026?" has generated $1.4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 12, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Maior empresa no final de dezembro de 2026?," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Maior empresa no final de dezembro de 2026?" is "NVIDIA" at 68%, meaning the market assigns a 68% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Apple" at 16%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Maior empresa no final de dezembro de 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.