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Tech Layoffs Up or Down in February, 20​26?

Market icon

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in February, 20​26?

Up

48% chance
Polymarket
NEW

Up

48% chance
Polymarket
NEW
This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in February 2026 than in January 2026 (58,000 layoffs). This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in January 2026 than in February 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if the two figures are the same. This market will resolve once the monthly data point for February 2026 is released, with the release currently scheduled for Tuesday, March 31, 2026, 9:00 am ET, according to the official Release Calendar (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/releases/calendar). If the relevant data is not released by the date the subsequent monthly data point is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve 50-50. Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered. This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL). Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in February 2026 than in January 2026 (58,000 layoffs).

This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in January 2026 than in February 2026.

This market will resolve to 50-50 if the two figures are the same.

This market will resolve once the monthly data point for February 2026 is released, with the release currently scheduled for Tuesday, March 31, 2026, 9:00 am ET, according to the official Release Calendar (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/releases/calendar). If the relevant data is not released by the date the subsequent monthly data point is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve 50-50.

Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.

This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).

Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$12
Data de Término
Mar 31, 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 20, 2026, 5:06 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in February 2026 than in January 2026 (58,000 layoffs). This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in January 2026 than in February 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if the two figures are the same. This market will resolve once the monthly data point for February 2026 is released, with the release currently scheduled for Tuesday, March 31, 2026, 9:00 am ET, according to the official Release Calendar (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/releases/calendar). If the relevant data is not released by the date the subsequent monthly data point is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve 50-50. Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered. This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL). Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in February 2026 than in January 2026 (58,000 layoffs). This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in January 2026 than in February 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if the two figures are the same. This market will resolve once the monthly data point for February 2026 is released, with the release currently scheduled for Tuesday, March 31, 2026, 9:00 am ET, according to the official Release Calendar (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/releases/calendar). If the relevant data is not released by the date the subsequent monthly data point is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve 50-50. Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered. This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL). Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in February 2026 than in January 2026 (58,000 layoffs).

This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in January 2026 than in February 2026.

This market will resolve to 50-50 if the two figures are the same.

This market will resolve once the monthly data point for February 2026 is released, with the release currently scheduled for Tuesday, March 31, 2026, 9:00 am ET, according to the official Release Calendar (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/releases/calendar). If the relevant data is not released by the date the subsequent monthly data point is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve 50-50.

Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.

This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).

Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$12
Data de Término
Mar 31, 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 20, 2026, 5:06 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in February 2026 than in January 2026 (58,000 layoffs). This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in January 2026 than in February 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if the two figures are the same. This market will resolve once the monthly data point for February 2026 is released, with the release currently scheduled for Tuesday, March 31, 2026, 9:00 am ET, according to the official Release Calendar (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/releases/calendar). If the relevant data is not released by the date the subsequent monthly data point is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve 50-50. Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered. This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL). Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Tech Layoffs Up or Down in February, 20​26?" is a daily prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell shares on whether Tech Layoffs Up or Down in February, 20​26?'s price will finish higher ("Up") or lower ("Down") than its opening price over the daily window specified in the title. The current market probability is 73% for "Down." A price of 73% means the market collectively assigns a 73% chance to that outcome. Prices update in real-time as traders react to live Tech Layoffs Up or Down in February, 20​26? price movements. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Tech Layoffs Up or Down in February, 20​26?" is an active short-term market on Polymarket. Trading volume can accumulate quickly as the daily window progresses — jump in early to help set the odds before this window closes.

To trade on "Tech Layoffs Up or Down in February, 20​26?," decide whether you believe Tech Layoffs Up or Down in February, 20​26?'s price at noon ET on March 30 will be higher ("Up") or lower ("Down") than Tech Layoffs Up or Down in February, 20​26?'s price at noon ET on March 20. Buy "Up" if you think the price will rise day-over-day, or "Down" if you think it will fall. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct at resolution, each share pays out $1.00. If incorrect, shares are worth $0.

The current probability for "Tech Layoffs Up or Down in February, 20​26?" is 73% for "Down," meaning the Polymarket crowd currently assigns a 73% chance that Tech Layoffs Up or Down in February, 20​26?'s price will finish down over this daily window. These odds update in real-time as traders react to live Tech Layoffs Up or Down in February, 20​26? price data. Over a full day, odds reflect evolving sentiment as the day's price action unfolds. Check back frequently or trade now before the window closes.

The "Tech Layoffs Up or Down in February, 20​26?" market resolves based on a comparison of Tech Layoffs Up or Down in February, 20​26?'s price at noon ET on March 30 versus noon ET on March 20, using Binance TECH-LAYOFFS/USDT 1-minute candle close prices. If the March 30 noon price is higher, the outcome is "Up"; if lower, "Down"; if equal, the market resolves 50-50. You can review the complete resolution criteria and data source in the "Rules" section on this page.