Polling in the Kerala Legislative Assembly election concluded on April 9 with over 78% voter turnout, setting the stage for a tight contest between the incumbent CPI(M)-led Left Democratic Front (LDF) and the Indian National Congress-led United Democratic Front (UDF), as results await counting on May 4. Pre-poll surveys showed mixed signals, with some like Manorama-C Voter projecting a UDF edge of 69-81 seats against LDF's 57-69, while others indicated a neck-and-neck race influenced by anti-incumbency against Chief Minister Pinarayi Vijayan's government amid economic woes and factional rebels. Trader consensus tilts slightly toward CPI(M) at 51% implied probability, reflecting LDF's strong southern base and incumbency resilience despite UDF consolidation in central districts and BJP's marginal NDA play splitting votes minimally. Recent CPI(M) expulsions and UDF leadership debates heighten uncertainty; separation could arise from postal ballot trends or key battleground outcomes in 20 pivotal seats.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição da Assembleia Legislativa de Kerala
Vencedor da eleição da Assembleia Legislativa de Kerala
CPI(M) 52%
INC 47%
CPI <1%
BJP <1%
$301,296 Vol.
$301,296 Vol.
9 abr 2026
CPI(M)
52%
INC
47%
CPI
<1%
BJP
<1%
BSP
<1%
JD(S)
<1%
RSP
<1%
KEC(M)
<1%
NCP
<1%
IUML
<1%
CPI(M) 52%
INC 47%
CPI <1%
BJP <1%
$301,296 Vol.
$301,296 Vol.
9 abr 2026
CPI(M)
$36,575 Vol.
52%
INC
$35,142 Vol.
47%
CPI
$35,347 Vol.
<1%
BJP
$61,883 Vol.
<1%
BSP
$17,303 Vol.
<1%
JD(S)
$24,409 Vol.
<1%
RSP
$14,096 Vol.
<1%
KEC(M)
$14,616 Vol.
<1%
NCP
$46,982 Vol.
<1%
IUML
$14,943 Vol.
<1%
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Kerala, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kerala Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).Polling in the Kerala Legislative Assembly election concluded on April 9 with over 78% voter turnout, setting the stage for a tight contest between the incumbent CPI(M)-led Left Democratic Front (LDF) and the Indian National Congress-led United Democratic Front (UDF), as results await counting on May 4. Pre-poll surveys showed mixed signals, with some like Manorama-C Voter projecting a UDF edge of 69-81 seats against LDF's 57-69, while others indicated a neck-and-neck race influenced by anti-incumbency against Chief Minister Pinarayi Vijayan's government amid economic woes and factional rebels. Trader consensus tilts slightly toward CPI(M) at 51% implied probability, reflecting LDF's strong southern base and incumbency resilience despite UDF consolidation in central districts and BJP's marginal NDA play splitting votes minimally. Recent CPI(M) expulsions and UDF leadership debates heighten uncertainty; separation could arise from postal ballot trends or key battleground outcomes in 20 pivotal seats.
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Kerala, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kerala Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kerala Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
Mercado Aberto: Dec 23, 2025, 4:01 PM ET
Volume
$301,296Data de Término
9 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 23, 2025, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Kerala, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kerala Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).Polling in the Kerala Legislative Assembly election concluded on April 9 with over 78% voter turnout, setting the stage for a tight contest between the incumbent CPI(M)-led Left Democratic Front (LDF) and the Indian National Congress-led United Democratic Front (UDF), as results await counting on May 4. Pre-poll surveys showed mixed signals, with some like Manorama-C Voter projecting a UDF edge of 69-81 seats against LDF's 57-69, while others indicated a neck-and-neck race influenced by anti-incumbency against Chief Minister Pinarayi Vijayan's government amid economic woes and factional rebels. Trader consensus tilts slightly toward CPI(M) at 51% implied probability, reflecting LDF's strong southern base and incumbency resilience despite UDF consolidation in central districts and BJP's marginal NDA play splitting votes minimally. Recent CPI(M) expulsions and UDF leadership debates heighten uncertainty; separation could arise from postal ballot trends or key battleground outcomes in 20 pivotal seats.
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Kerala, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kerala Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kerala Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
Volume
$301,296Data de Término
9 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 23, 2025, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polling in the Kerala Legislative Assembly election concluded on April 9 with over 78% voter turnout, setting the stage for a tight contest between the incumbent CPI(M)-led Left Democratic Front (LDF) and the Indian National Congress-led United Democratic Front (UDF), as results await counting on May 4. Pre-poll surveys showed mixed signals, with some like Manorama-C Voter projecting a UDF edge of 69-81 seats against LDF's 57-69, while others indicated a neck-and-neck race influenced by anti-incumbency against Chief Minister Pinarayi Vijayan's government amid economic woes and factional rebels. Trader consensus tilts slightly toward CPI(M) at 51% implied probability, reflecting LDF's strong southern base and incumbency resilience despite UDF consolidation in central districts and BJP's marginal NDA play splitting votes minimally. Recent CPI(M) expulsions and UDF leadership debates heighten uncertainty; separation could arise from postal ballot trends or key battleground outcomes in 20 pivotal seats.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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