Trader consensus heavily favors Park Chan-dae at 85% implied probability to win the Incheon mayoral election, reflecting his dominant position in recent opinion polls as the Democratic Party of Korea candidate. A former National Assembly member, Park benefits from the party's strong regional base and national opposition momentum against the ruling People Power Party amid economic pressures and scandals. Yoo Jeong-bok, the PPP contender and former mayor, holds about 4% odds, aligning with surveys showing consistent 20-30 point deficits. Recent polls from mid-October confirm Park's lead widening post-nomination, with no major campaign disruptions; upcoming voter registration deadlines and local debates could influence sentiment.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição municipal de Incheon
Vencedor da eleição municipal de Incheon
Park Chan-dae 87%
Yoo Jeong-bok 4.1%
Lee Hak-jae <1%
Yoo Dong-soo <1%
$392,270 Vol.
$392,270 Vol.

Park Chan-dae
87%

Yoo Jeong-bok
4%

Lee Hak-jae
1%

Yoo Dong-soo
1%

Chung Il-young
<1%

Kim Kyo-heung
<1%

Bae June-young
<1%

Park Nam-choon
<1%

Yoon Sang-hyun
<1%
Park Chan-dae 87%
Yoo Jeong-bok 4.1%
Lee Hak-jae <1%
Yoo Dong-soo <1%
$392,270 Vol.
$392,270 Vol.

Park Chan-dae
87%

Yoo Jeong-bok
4%

Lee Hak-jae
1%

Yoo Dong-soo
1%

Chung Il-young
<1%

Kim Kyo-heung
<1%

Bae June-young
<1%

Park Nam-choon
<1%

Yoon Sang-hyun
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
Mercado Aberto: Nov 17, 2025, 6:50 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Park Chan-dae at 85% implied probability to win the Incheon mayoral election, reflecting his dominant position in recent opinion polls as the Democratic Party of Korea candidate. A former National Assembly member, Park benefits from the party's strong regional base and national opposition momentum against the ruling People Power Party amid economic pressures and scandals. Yoo Jeong-bok, the PPP contender and former mayor, holds about 4% odds, aligning with surveys showing consistent 20-30 point deficits. Recent polls from mid-October confirm Park's lead widening post-nomination, with no major campaign disruptions; upcoming voter registration deadlines and local debates could influence sentiment.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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