Incumbent Democrat J.B. Pritzker holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial race against Republican nominee Darren Bailey, a rematch of their 2022 contest. Pritzker secured the Democratic nomination without opposition after the March primaries, while Bailey prevailed in a crowded Republican field. Recent polling averages show Pritzker ahead by roughly 20 points, consistent with Illinois’s Democratic lean demonstrated in the 2024 presidential results and reinforced by the state’s urban voter base and turnout patterns. Trader consensus aligns with these fundamentals, including the incumbent’s fundraising and name-recognition advantages, with forecasters rating the contest solid Democratic. An independent candidate’s ballot access efforts could introduce minor vote-splitting dynamics, yet no major shifts have emerged in the past month. Late developments such as scandals, health events, or sharp national political swings remain the primary factors that could realistically narrow the gap before November 3.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição para governador de Illinois
Vencedor da eleição para governador de Illinois
NOVO
NOVO
3 nov 2026
Democrata
95%
Republicano
6%
NOVO
NOVO
3 nov 2026
Democrata
$4,318 Vol.
95%
Republicano
$3,088 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat J.B. Pritzker holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial race against Republican nominee Darren Bailey, a rematch of their 2022 contest. Pritzker secured the Democratic nomination without opposition after the March primaries, while Bailey prevailed in a crowded Republican field. Recent polling averages show Pritzker ahead by roughly 20 points, consistent with Illinois’s Democratic lean demonstrated in the 2024 presidential results and reinforced by the state’s urban voter base and turnout patterns. Trader consensus aligns with these fundamentals, including the incumbent’s fundraising and name-recognition advantages, with forecasters rating the contest solid Democratic. An independent candidate’s ballot access efforts could introduce minor vote-splitting dynamics, yet no major shifts have emerged in the past month. Late developments such as scandals, health events, or sharp national political swings remain the primary factors that could realistically narrow the gap before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado Aberto: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Volume
$7,406Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat J.B. Pritzker holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial race against Republican nominee Darren Bailey, a rematch of their 2022 contest. Pritzker secured the Democratic nomination without opposition after the March primaries, while Bailey prevailed in a crowded Republican field. Recent polling averages show Pritzker ahead by roughly 20 points, consistent with Illinois’s Democratic lean demonstrated in the 2024 presidential results and reinforced by the state’s urban voter base and turnout patterns. Trader consensus aligns with these fundamentals, including the incumbent’s fundraising and name-recognition advantages, with forecasters rating the contest solid Democratic. An independent candidate’s ballot access efforts could introduce minor vote-splitting dynamics, yet no major shifts have emerged in the past month. Late developments such as scandals, health events, or sharp national political swings remain the primary factors that could realistically narrow the gap before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$7,406Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat J.B. Pritzker holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial race against Republican nominee Darren Bailey, a rematch of their 2022 contest. Pritzker secured the Democratic nomination without opposition after the March primaries, while Bailey prevailed in a crowded Republican field. Recent polling averages show Pritzker ahead by roughly 20 points, consistent with Illinois’s Democratic lean demonstrated in the 2024 presidential results and reinforced by the state’s urban voter base and turnout patterns. Trader consensus aligns with these fundamentals, including the incumbent’s fundraising and name-recognition advantages, with forecasters rating the contest solid Democratic. An independent candidate’s ballot access efforts could introduce minor vote-splitting dynamics, yet no major shifts have emerged in the past month. Late developments such as scandals, health events, or sharp national political swings remain the primary factors that could realistically narrow the gap before November 3.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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