Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors Elon Musk posting 40-64 tweets from March 14-16, 2026 (100% implied probability), anchored in his historical posting cadence of 15-20 X posts daily during routine periods, per recent analytics from tracking sites like TweetDeck metrics and SocialBlade data. Absent major catalysts, this range mirrors post-2024 election lulls and typical non-event windows, where volumes stabilized below 70 after peaking at 90+ during controversies like the Brazil X ban or Tesla earnings. Supporting factors include Elon's focus on DOGE advisory roles and SpaceX ops, curbing viral spirals. Realistic upsets hinge on surprise announcements—Robotaxi unveilings, midterm election drama, or Grok AI breakthroughs—potentially surging output to 65+ via reply chains and memes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado40-64 100.0%
<40 <1%
65-89 <1%
90-114 <1%
$622,745 Vol.
$622,745 Vol.
16 mar 2026
<40
Não
40-64
Sim
65-89
Não
90-114
Não
115-139
Não
140-164
Não
165-189
Não
190-214
Não
215-239
Não
240+
Não
40-64 100.0%
<40 <1%
65-89 <1%
90-114 <1%
$622,745 Vol.
$622,745 Vol.
16 mar 2026
<40
$0 Vol.
Não
40-64
$622,745 Vol.
Sim
65-89
$0 Vol.
Não
90-114
$0 Vol.
Não
115-139
$0 Vol.
Não
140-164
$0 Vol.
Não
165-189
$0 Vol.
Não
190-214
$0 Vol.
Não
215-239
$0 Vol.
Não
240+
$0 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 14 12:00 PM ET to March 16, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors Elon Musk posting 40-64 tweets from March 14-16, 2026 (100% implied probability), anchored in his historical posting cadence of 15-20 X posts daily during routine periods, per recent analytics from tracking sites like TweetDeck metrics and SocialBlade data. Absent major catalysts, this range mirrors post-2024 election lulls and typical non-event windows, where volumes stabilized below 70 after peaking at 90+ during controversies like the Brazil X ban or Tesla earnings. Supporting factors include Elon's focus on DOGE advisory roles and SpaceX ops, curbing viral spirals. Realistic upsets hinge on surprise announcements—Robotaxi unveilings, midterm election drama, or Grok AI breakthroughs—potentially surging output to 65+ via reply chains and memes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 14 12:00 PM ET to March 16, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 12, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Volume
$622,745Data de Término
16 mar 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 12, 2026, 12:01 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 14 12:00 PM ET to March 16, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors Elon Musk posting 40-64 tweets from March 14-16, 2026 (100% implied probability), anchored in his historical posting cadence of 15-20 X posts daily during routine periods, per recent analytics from tracking sites like TweetDeck metrics and SocialBlade data. Absent major catalysts, this range mirrors post-2024 election lulls and typical non-event windows, where volumes stabilized below 70 after peaking at 90+ during controversies like the Brazil X ban or Tesla earnings. Supporting factors include Elon's focus on DOGE advisory roles and SpaceX ops, curbing viral spirals. Realistic upsets hinge on surprise announcements—Robotaxi unveilings, midterm election drama, or Grok AI breakthroughs—potentially surging output to 65+ via reply chains and memes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 14 12:00 PM ET to March 16, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$622,745Data de Término
16 mar 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 12, 2026, 12:01 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors Elon Musk posting 40-64 tweets from March 14-16, 2026 (100% implied probability), anchored in his historical posting cadence of 15-20 X posts daily during routine periods, per recent analytics from tracking sites like TweetDeck metrics and SocialBlade data. Absent major catalysts, this range mirrors post-2024 election lulls and typical non-event windows, where volumes stabilized below 70 after peaking at 90+ during controversies like the Brazil X ban or Tesla earnings. Supporting factors include Elon's focus on DOGE advisory roles and SpaceX ops, curbing viral spirals. Realistic upsets hinge on surprise announcements—Robotaxi unveilings, midterm election drama, or Grok AI breakthroughs—potentially surging output to 65+ via reply chains and memes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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