Market icon
Tecnologia·Tesla

Quantas entregas Tesla no primeiro trimestre de 2026?

Market icon
Tecnologia·Tesla

Quantas entregas Tesla no primeiro trimestre de 2026?

mar 31

mar 31

350k–375k 85%

375k–400k 9.4%

<350k 7%

400k–425k 1.5%

Polymarket

$836,404 Vol.

350k–375k 85%

375k–400k 9.4%

<350k 7%

400k–425k 1.5%

Polymarket

$836,404 Vol.

<350k

$276,160 Vol.

7%

350k–375k

$157,358 Vol.

85%

375k–400k

$62,738 Vol.

9%

400k–425k

$38,916 Vol.

2%

425k–450k

$59,297 Vol.

<1%

450k–475k

$168,795 Vol.

<1%

475k–500k

$45,517 Vol.

<1%

500 mil+

$27,624 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to Tesla's announced total vehicle deliveries for Q1 2026. If Tesla does not publish Q1 2026 delivery figures by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be https://ir.tesla.com/press.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 350,000–375,000 Tesla vehicle deliveries for Q1 2026 at 83.5% implied probability, anchored by the company's March 26 release of analyst estimates totaling 365,645 units—a 12.6% sequential drop from Q4 2025's 418,227 amid softening EV demand, intensified China competition, and U.S. tax credit expirations. Recent strength in Europe bolstered optimism, with UK March registrations surging 31% year-over-year to contribute to Q1's 15,733 total (+5% YoY) and Sweden's Q1 deliveries up 48% to 2,512 units. Some trackers project a potential beat to 375,000 on end-quarter momentum, though official figures expected April 2 could shift odds amid production-delivery gaps and inventory dynamics.

This market will resolve according to Tesla's announced total vehicle deliveries for Q1 2026.

If Tesla does not publish Q1 2026 delivery figures by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be https://ir.tesla.com/press.
Volume
$836,404
Data de Término
31 mar 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to Tesla's announced total vehicle deliveries for Q1 2026. If Tesla does not publish Q1 2026 delivery figures by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be https://ir.tesla.com/press.
This market will resolve according to Tesla's announced total vehicle deliveries for Q1 2026. If Tesla does not publish Q1 2026 delivery figures by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be https://ir.tesla.com/press.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 350,000–375,000 Tesla vehicle deliveries for Q1 2026 at 83.5% implied probability, anchored by the company's March 26 release of analyst estimates totaling 365,645 units—a 12.6% sequential drop from Q4 2025's 418,227 amid softening EV demand, intensified China competition, and U.S. tax credit expirations. Recent strength in Europe bolstered optimism, with UK March registrations surging 31% year-over-year to contribute to Q1's 15,733 total (+5% YoY) and Sweden's Q1 deliveries up 48% to 2,512 units. Some trackers project a potential beat to 375,000 on end-quarter momentum, though official figures expected April 2 could shift odds amid production-delivery gaps and inventory dynamics.

This market will resolve according to Tesla's announced total vehicle deliveries for Q1 2026.

If Tesla does not publish Q1 2026 delivery figures by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be https://ir.tesla.com/press.
Volume
$836,404
Data de Término
31 mar 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to Tesla's announced total vehicle deliveries for Q1 2026. If Tesla does not publish Q1 2026 delivery figures by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be https://ir.tesla.com/press.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Quantas entregas Tesla no primeiro trimestre de 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "350k–375k" at 85%, followed by "375k–400k" at 9%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 85¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 85% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Quantas entregas Tesla no primeiro trimestre de 2026?" has generated $836.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Quantas entregas Tesla no primeiro trimestre de 2026?," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Quantas entregas Tesla no primeiro trimestre de 2026?" is "350k–375k" at 85%, meaning the market assigns a 85% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "375k–400k" at 9%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Quantas entregas Tesla no primeiro trimestre de 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.