Quantos lançamentos da SpaceX Starship alcançarão o espaço em 2026?
5-6 36%
7-8 27%
9-10 15%
11-12 10.5%
$42,194 Vol.
$42,194 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
<5
$1,474 Vol.
8%
<5
$1,474 Vol.
8%
5-6
$1,339 Vol.
36%
5-6
$1,339 Vol.
36%
7-8
$33,609 Vol.
27%
7-8
$33,609 Vol.
27%
9-10
$1,181 Vol.
15%
9-10
$1,181 Vol.
15%
11-12
$1,211 Vol.
11%
11-12
$1,211 Vol.
11%
13-14
$1,166 Vol.
6%
13-14
$1,166 Vol.
6%
15-16
$1,185 Vol.
6%
15-16
$1,185 Vol.
6%
>16
$1,028 Vol.
4%
>16
$1,028 Vol.
4%
Regras
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX Starship launches successfully reaching an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome.
The primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g., via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome.
The primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g., via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Criado em: Dec 11, 2025, 7:39 PM ET
Volume
$42,194Data de término
Dec 31, 2026Criado em
Dec 11, 2025, 7:39 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Quantos lançamentos da SpaceX Starship alcançarão o espaço em 2026?
5-6 36%
7-8 27%
9-10 15%
11-12 10.5%
$42,194 Vol.
$42,194 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
<5
$1,474 Vol.
8%
5-6
$1,339 Vol.
36%
7-8
$33,609 Vol.
27%
9-10
$1,181 Vol.
15%
11-12
$1,211 Vol.
11%
13-14
$1,166 Vol.
6%
15-16
$1,185 Vol.
6%
>16
$1,028 Vol.
4%
Sobre
Volume
$42,194Data de término
Dec 31, 2026Criado em
Dec 11, 2025, 7:39 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Cuidado com links externos.
Cuidado com links externos.
Cuidado com links externos.
Cuidado com links externos.