Market icon
Geopolítica·Trump

Quantas Cartas Douradas Trump venderá em 2026?

Market icon
Geopolítica·Trump

Quantas Cartas Douradas Trump venderá em 2026?

dez 31

dez 31

0 36%

1-100 16.9%

2,5 mil-5 mil 8.2%

101-1k 7.6%

Polymarket

$128,149 Vol.

0 36%

1-100 16.9%

2,5 mil-5 mil 8.2%

101-1k 7.6%

Polymarket

$128,149 Vol.

0

$24,983 Vol.

36%

1-100

$10,162 Vol.

17%

101-1k

$4,882 Vol.

8%

1k-2,5k

$7,315 Vol.

7%

2,5 mil-5 mil

$4,297 Vol.

8%

5 mil-10 mil

$4,560 Vol.

7%

10k-25k

$54,067 Vol.

7%

25 mil-100 mil

$4,122 Vol.

8%

>100 mil

$13,761 Vol.

5%

Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment. This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.**Trader consensus favors zero Trump Gold Cards sold in 2026 at 36%, reflecting stalled momentum for the executive order-launched immigration program that opened applications in December 2025 amid initial claims of $1.3 billion in sales.** Legal challenges, including a federal lawsuit filed February 3, 2026, question the program's authority and structure, delaying USCIS processing of I-140G petitions for the $1 million "gift" to secure expedited green cards. March reporting highlights it as a "hard sell" to wealthy foreigners due to vetting delays, national security concerns, and competition from other golden visa options, with no verified 2026 issuances despite a 70,000-person waitlist. Upcoming court rulings could further impact adjudication timelines through year-end.

Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.

This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$128,149
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 5, 2025, 11:33 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment. This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment. This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.**Trader consensus favors zero Trump Gold Cards sold in 2026 at 36%, reflecting stalled momentum for the executive order-launched immigration program that opened applications in December 2025 amid initial claims of $1.3 billion in sales.** Legal challenges, including a federal lawsuit filed February 3, 2026, question the program's authority and structure, delaying USCIS processing of I-140G petitions for the $1 million "gift" to secure expedited green cards. March reporting highlights it as a "hard sell" to wealthy foreigners due to vetting delays, national security concerns, and competition from other golden visa options, with no verified 2026 issuances despite a 70,000-person waitlist. Upcoming court rulings could further impact adjudication timelines through year-end.

Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.

This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$128,149
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 5, 2025, 11:33 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment. This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Quantas Cartas Douradas Trump venderá em 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "0" at 36%, followed by "1-100" at 17%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 36¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Quantas Cartas Douradas Trump venderá em 2026?" has generated $128.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 5, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Quantas Cartas Douradas Trump venderá em 2026?," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Quantas Cartas Douradas Trump venderá em 2026?" is "0" at 36%, meaning the market assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "1-100" at 17%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Quantas Cartas Douradas Trump venderá em 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.