President Donald Trump's approval rating has declined to second-term lows around 37-40% in recent national polls from CNN, Nate Silver's average, and others as of early April 2026, driven primarily by surging gas prices above $4 per gallon amid the ongoing Iran conflict and persistent high inflation. Polling averages show net disapproval nearing -20 points, with independents at -38 net in Quinnipiac surveys, reflecting voter frustration over economic handling (31% approval in CNN) and foreign policy (36% on Iran per Fox). No major rebounds have occurred in the past 30 days despite a recent national address on the war; historical precedents link presidential ratings closely to fuel costs and midterm pressures, with 2026 primaries starting in spring potentially amplifying scrutiny on legislative achievements like border security and spending bills.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoQuão alto será o índice de aprovação de Trump em 2026?
Quão alto será o índice de aprovação de Trump em 2026?
↑ 44%
12%
↑ 45%
11%
↑ 46%
12%
↑ 47%
5%
↑ 48%
7%
↑ 49%
4%
↑ 50%
5%
$2,957 Vol.
↑ 44%
12%
↑ 45%
11%
↑ 46%
12%
↑ 47%
5%
↑ 48%
7%
↑ 49%
4%
↑ 50%
5%
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Mercado Aberto: Dec 11, 2025, 7:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...President Donald Trump's approval rating has declined to second-term lows around 37-40% in recent national polls from CNN, Nate Silver's average, and others as of early April 2026, driven primarily by surging gas prices above $4 per gallon amid the ongoing Iran conflict and persistent high inflation. Polling averages show net disapproval nearing -20 points, with independents at -38 net in Quinnipiac surveys, reflecting voter frustration over economic handling (31% approval in CNN) and foreign policy (36% on Iran per Fox). No major rebounds have occurred in the past 30 days despite a recent national address on the war; historical precedents link presidential ratings closely to fuel costs and midterm pressures, with 2026 primaries starting in spring potentially amplifying scrutiny on legislative achievements like border security and spending bills.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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