Yemen's Iran-backed Houthi rebels launched a ballistic missile at Israel on March 28, 2026—their first direct military action since the US-Israeli war on Iran began last month—with Israel's defenses intercepting it over the country. Houthi officials claimed the strike targeted sensitive military sites and vowed continued attacks until demands are met, heightening escalation risks amid broader regional hostilities including airstrikes and proxy mobilizations. Prior threats and solidarity with Tehran had not materialized into strikes until now, reflecting proxy coordination dynamics. Traders monitor potential Israeli or US retaliation, Red Sea shipping disruptions via Bab al-Mandab Strait, and diplomatic signals for de-escalation or further barrages.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoAção militar houthi contra Israel por...?
Ação militar houthi contra Israel por...?
$34,878 Vol.
Apr 15, 2026
15 de abril
66%
April 30
71%
$34,878 Vol.
15 de abril
$26,791 Vol.
66%
April 30
$8,087 Vol.
71%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Houthis initiate a drone, missile, or air strike that impacts Israeli ground territory between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Houthi forces that physically impact land under Israeli control.
Israeli ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Israel, including all territory under de facto Israeli government administration as of market creation. This includes the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights and East Jerusalem, but excludes the West Bank and Gaza Strip.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution—regardless of whether debris lands on Israeli soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Yemen's Iran-backed Houthi rebels launched a ballistic missile at Israel on March 28, 2026—their first direct military action since the US-Israeli war on Iran began last month—with Israel's defenses intercepting it over the country. Houthi officials claimed the strike targeted sensitive military sites and vowed continued attacks until demands are met, heightening escalation risks amid broader regional hostilities including airstrikes and proxy mobilizations. Prior threats and solidarity with Tehran had not materialized into strikes until now, reflecting proxy coordination dynamics. Traders monitor potential Israeli or US retaliation, Red Sea shipping disruptions via Bab al-Mandab Strait, and diplomatic signals for de-escalation or further barrages.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Houthis initiate a drone, missile, or air strike that impacts Israeli ground territory between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Houthi forces that physically impact land under Israeli control.
Israeli ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Israel, including all territory under de facto Israeli government administration as of market creation. This includes the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights and East Jerusalem, but excludes the West Bank and Gaza Strip.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution—regardless of whether debris lands on Israeli soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Houthi forces that physically impact land under Israeli control.
Israeli ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Israel, including all territory under de facto Israeli government administration as of market creation. This includes the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights and East Jerusalem, but excludes the West Bank and Gaza Strip.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution—regardless of whether debris lands on Israeli soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 20, 2026, 10:25 AM ET
Volume
$34,878Data de Término
Apr 30, 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 20, 2026, 10:25 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Houthis initiate a drone, missile, or air strike that impacts Israeli ground territory between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Houthi forces that physically impact land under Israeli control.
Israeli ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Israel, including all territory under de facto Israeli government administration as of market creation. This includes the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights and East Jerusalem, but excludes the West Bank and Gaza Strip.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution—regardless of whether debris lands on Israeli soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Yemen's Iran-backed Houthi rebels launched a ballistic missile at Israel on March 28, 2026—their first direct military action since the US-Israeli war on Iran began last month—with Israel's defenses intercepting it over the country. Houthi officials claimed the strike targeted sensitive military sites and vowed continued attacks until demands are met, heightening escalation risks amid broader regional hostilities including airstrikes and proxy mobilizations. Prior threats and solidarity with Tehran had not materialized into strikes until now, reflecting proxy coordination dynamics. Traders monitor potential Israeli or US retaliation, Red Sea shipping disruptions via Bab al-Mandab Strait, and diplomatic signals for de-escalation or further barrages.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Houthis initiate a drone, missile, or air strike that impacts Israeli ground territory between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Houthi forces that physically impact land under Israeli control.
Israeli ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Israel, including all territory under de facto Israeli government administration as of market creation. This includes the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights and East Jerusalem, but excludes the West Bank and Gaza Strip.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution—regardless of whether debris lands on Israeli soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Houthi forces that physically impact land under Israeli control.
Israeli ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Israel, including all territory under de facto Israeli government administration as of market creation. This includes the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights and East Jerusalem, but excludes the West Bank and Gaza Strip.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution—regardless of whether debris lands on Israeli soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Volume
$34,878Data de Término
Apr 30, 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 20, 2026, 10:25 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Yemen's Iran-backed Houthi rebels launched a ballistic missile at Israel on March 28, 2026—their first direct military action since the US-Israeli war on Iran began last month—with Israel's defenses intercepting it over the country. Houthi officials claimed the strike targeted sensitive military sites and vowed continued attacks until demands are met, heightening escalation risks amid broader regional hostilities including airstrikes and proxy mobilizations. Prior threats and solidarity with Tehran had not materialized into strikes until now, reflecting proxy coordination dynamics. Traders monitor potential Israeli or US retaliation, Red Sea shipping disruptions via Bab al-Mandab Strait, and diplomatic signals for de-escalation or further barrages.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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