MetService's latest forecast, issued late March 28, projects a daytime high of 19°C for Wellington Central on March 29 under cloudy skies with northerly winds, areas of drizzle clearing briefly in the afternoon before rain returns, capping temperatures amid persistent cloud cover. Trader consensus on Polymarket leans slightly toward 20°C (47.5% implied probability) over 19°C (38.5%), reflecting short-range forecast uncertainty where model ensembles show variability in cloud breaks and northerly warming potential, potentially allowing a 1°C airport peak above Central readings. March climatology supports highs near 20°C on average, but northerly flow and moisture limit extremes above 21°C; morning observations and hourly updates from the Wellington International Airport Station— the market's resolution source—will clarify the outcome amid inherent weather model divergence.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Wellington on March 29?
Highest temperature in Wellington on March 29?
20°C 48%
19°C 34%
21°C 9.1%
22°C 1.9%
$245,231 Vol.
$245,231 Vol.
19°C
34%
20°C
48%
21°C
9%
22°C
2%
23°C or higher
1%
20°C 48%
19°C 34%
21°C 9.1%
22°C 1.9%
$245,231 Vol.
$245,231 Vol.
19°C
34%
20°C
48%
21°C
9%
22°C
2%
23°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...MetService's latest forecast, issued late March 28, projects a daytime high of 19°C for Wellington Central on March 29 under cloudy skies with northerly winds, areas of drizzle clearing briefly in the afternoon before rain returns, capping temperatures amid persistent cloud cover. Trader consensus on Polymarket leans slightly toward 20°C (47.5% implied probability) over 19°C (38.5%), reflecting short-range forecast uncertainty where model ensembles show variability in cloud breaks and northerly warming potential, potentially allowing a 1°C airport peak above Central readings. March climatology supports highs near 20°C on average, but northerly flow and moisture limit extremes above 21°C; morning observations and hourly updates from the Wellington International Airport Station— the market's resolution source—will clarify the outcome amid inherent weather model divergence.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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