Japan Meteorological Agency observations confirm Tokyo's highest temperature on March 25 reached exactly 13°C, primarily at central stations like Chiyoda, driving trader consensus to 100% on this outcome as the market reflects verified daily maximum data. This aligns with cool spring conditions influenced by lingering cold air masses from the Asian continent and weak southerly winds, consistent with seasonal norms where March highs average 12–15°C amid variable frontal systems. Ensemble forecast models from leading agencies had converged on this range days prior, minimizing uncertainty. Realistic challenges would require a post-verification data revision due to rare instrument malfunction or station-specific anomalies, though JMA's rigorous quality controls make this improbable; resolution awaits final official report.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Tóquio no dia 25 de março?
Temperatura mais alta em Tóquio no dia 25 de março?
13°C 100.0%
7°C ou menos <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
7°C ou menos
Não
8°C
Não
9°C
Não
10°C
Não
11°C
Não
12°C
Não
13°C
Sim
14°C
Não
15°C
Não
16°C
Não
17°C ou mais
Não
13°C 100.0%
7°C ou menos <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
7°C ou menos
Não
8°C
Não
9°C
Não
10°C
Não
11°C
Não
12°C
Não
13°C
Sim
14°C
Não
15°C
Não
16°C
Não
17°C ou mais
Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 21, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Japan Meteorological Agency observations confirm Tokyo's highest temperature on March 25 reached exactly 13°C, primarily at central stations like Chiyoda, driving trader consensus to 100% on this outcome as the market reflects verified daily maximum data. This aligns with cool spring conditions influenced by lingering cold air masses from the Asian continent and weak southerly winds, consistent with seasonal norms where March highs average 12–15°C amid variable frontal systems. Ensemble forecast models from leading agencies had converged on this range days prior, minimizing uncertainty. Realistic challenges would require a post-verification data revision due to rare instrument malfunction or station-specific anomalies, though JMA's rigorous quality controls make this improbable; resolution awaits final official report.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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