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Highest temperature in Seoul on March 25?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Seoul on March 25?

13°C 100.0%

5°C or below <1%

6°C <1%

7°C <1%

Polymarket

$0.00 Vol.

13°C 100.0%

5°C or below <1%

6°C <1%

7°C <1%

Polymarket

$0.00 Vol.

5°C or below

$0 Vol.

No

6°C

$0 Vol.

No

7°C

$0 Vol.

No

8°C

$0 Vol.

No

9°C

$0 Vol.

No

10°C

$0 Vol.

No

11°C

$0 Vol.

No

12°C

$0 Vol.

No

13°C

$0 Vol.

Yes

14°C

$0 Vol.

No

15°C or higher

$0 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) confirm Seoul's highest temperature on March 25 reached exactly 13°C at primary monitoring stations like Jongno, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome amid typical late-March conditions. Cool northerly airflow and partly cloudy skies capped diurnal maxima, consistent with historical averages of 12-14°C for the period and aligning with pre-event forecast model ensembles from KMA and global centers. This observed data, derived from automated surface stations with rigorous quality controls, leaves negligible room for other outcomes. Realistic challenges—such as rare post hoc data corrections—would require evidence of measurement anomalies, which official protocols deem highly unlikely.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$0
Data de Término
Mar 25, 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 21, 2026, 6:02 AM ET

Resultado proposto: Yes

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Yes

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) confirm Seoul's highest temperature on March 25 reached exactly 13°C at primary monitoring stations like Jongno, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome amid typical late-March conditions. Cool northerly airflow and partly cloudy skies capped diurnal maxima, consistent with historical averages of 12-14°C for the period and aligning with pre-event forecast model ensembles from KMA and global centers. This observed data, derived from automated surface stations with rigorous quality controls, leaves negligible room for other outcomes. Realistic challenges—such as rare post hoc data corrections—would require evidence of measurement anomalies, which official protocols deem highly unlikely.

Official observations from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) confirm Seoul's highest temperature on March 25 reached exactly 13°C at primary monitoring stations like Jongno, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome amid typical late-March conditions. Cool northerly airflow and partly cloudy skies capped diurnal maxima, consistent with historical averages of 12-14°C for the period and aligning with pre-event forecast model ensembles from KMA and global centers. This observed data, derived from automated surface stations with rigorous quality controls, leaves negligible room for other outcomes. Realistic challenges—such as rare post hoc data corrections—would require evidence of measurement anomalies, which official protocols deem highly unlikely.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Highest temperature in Seoul on March 25?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "13°C" at 100%, followed by "5°C or below" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Highest temperature in Seoul on March 25?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 21, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Highest temperature in Seoul on March 25?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Highest temperature in Seoul on March 25?" is "13°C" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "5°C or below" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Highest temperature in Seoul on March 25?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.