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Temperatura mais alta em Nova York em 28 de março?

Market icon

Temperatura mais alta em Nova York em 28 de março?

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 31

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 31

42-43°F 65%

44-45°F 25%

46-47°F 6.2%

48-49°F <1%

Polymarket

$118,968 Vol.

42-43°F 65%

44-45°F 25%

46-47°F 6.2%

48-49°F <1%

Polymarket

$118,968 Vol.

35°F ou menos

$7,620 Vol.

<1%

36-37°F

$18,869 Vol.

<1%

38-39°F

$21,438 Vol.

<1%

40-41°F

$29,962 Vol.

<1%

42-43°F

$9,038 Vol.

65%

44-45°F

$3,762 Vol.

25%

46-47°F

$5,482 Vol.

6%

48-49°F

$4,386 Vol.

1%

50-51°F

$4,054 Vol.

1%

52-53°F

$4,502 Vol.

<1%

54°F ou mais

$9,863 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high temperature of 42-43°F (64.5% implied probability) in New York City on March 28, driven by the latest National Weather Service (NWS) forecasts from the OKX office projecting peaks near 43°F at Central Park under mostly sunny skies. This positioning stems from a recent cold front passage on March 27, ushering in a cooler Canadian air mass with persistent north winds 6-14 mph, limiting diurnal heating and keeping highs 10°F below the March 28 climatological average of 54°F. Model ensembles like GFS and NAM show strong agreement on this range, with current observations around 42°F mid-morning supporting the trajectory amid a stable boundary layer. Minor upside risk to 44-45°F exists if winds lighten, but new hourly updates expected this afternoon could refine probabilities further as the resolution window nears.

Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high temperature of 42-43°F (64.5% implied probability) in New York City on March 28, driven by the latest National Weather Service (NWS) forecasts from the OKX office projecting peaks near 43°F at Central Park under mostly sunny skies. This positioning stems from a recent cold front passage on March 27, ushering in a cooler Canadian air mass with persistent north winds 6-14 mph, limiting diurnal heating and keeping highs 10°F below the March 28 climatological average of 54°F. Model ensembles like GFS and NAM show strong agreement on this range, with current observations around 42°F mid-morning supporting the trajectory amid a stable boundary layer. Minor upside risk to 44-45°F exists if winds lighten, but new hourly updates expected this afternoon could refine probabilities further as the resolution window nears.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high temperature of 42-43°F (64.5% implied probability) in New York City on March 28, driven by the latest National Weather Service (NWS) forecasts from the OKX office projecting peaks near 43°F at Central Park under mostly sunny skies. This positioning stems from a recent cold front passage on March 27, ushering in a cooler Canadian air mass with persistent north winds 6-14 mph, limiting diurnal heating and keeping highs 10°F below the March 28 climatological average of 54°F. Model ensembles like GFS and NAM show strong agreement on this range, with current observations around 42°F mid-morning supporting the trajectory amid a stable boundary layer. Minor upside risk to 44-45°F exists if winds lighten, but new hourly updates expected this afternoon could refine probabilities further as the resolution window nears.

Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high temperature of 42-43°F (64.5% implied probability) in New York City on March 28, driven by the latest National Weather Service (NWS) forecasts from the OKX office projecting peaks near 43°F at Central Park under mostly sunny skies. This positioning stems from a recent cold front passage on March 27, ushering in a cooler Canadian air mass with persistent north winds 6-14 mph, limiting diurnal heating and keeping highs 10°F below the March 28 climatological average of 54°F. Model ensembles like GFS and NAM show strong agreement on this range, with current observations around 42°F mid-morning supporting the trajectory amid a stable boundary layer. Minor upside risk to 44-45°F exists if winds lighten, but new hourly updates expected this afternoon could refine probabilities further as the resolution window nears.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Temperatura mais alta em Nova York em 28 de março?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "42-43°F" at 65%, followed by "44-45°F" at 25%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 65¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 65% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Temperatura mais alta em Nova York em 28 de março?" has generated $119K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 24, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Temperatura mais alta em Nova York em 28 de março?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Temperatura mais alta em Nova York em 28 de março?" is "42-43°F" at 65%, meaning the market assigns a 65% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "44-45°F" at 25%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Temperatura mais alta em Nova York em 28 de março?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.