India Meteorological Department forecasts pin Lucknow's March 28 maximum temperature at around 33°C under persistent clear skies and low humidity, boosting trader consensus for that outcome at 38% implied probability amid dry northwesterly winds limiting extreme heat. Recent observations show daytime highs stabilizing in the low 30s°C over the past week, with no heatwave declaration for Uttar Pradesh despite broader regional warming. Model ensembles from GFS and ECMWF exhibit slight divergence—some runs capping at 32°C due to potential afternoon haze or shear—explaining the razor-thin edge over 32°C or below (31.5%). Historical March norms average 32–33°C, underscoring tight uncertainty; official airport readings will resolve the market by day's end.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Lucknow on March 28?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on March 28?
33°C 38%
32°C or below 33%
34°C 26%
35°C 5.1%
$18,968 Vol.
$18,968 Vol.
32°C or below
33%
33°C
38%
34°C
26%
35°C
5%
36°C
4%
37°C
1%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
33°C 38%
32°C or below 33%
34°C 26%
35°C 5.1%
$18,968 Vol.
$18,968 Vol.
32°C or below
33%
33°C
38%
34°C
26%
35°C
5%
36°C
4%
37°C
1%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...India Meteorological Department forecasts pin Lucknow's March 28 maximum temperature at around 33°C under persistent clear skies and low humidity, boosting trader consensus for that outcome at 38% implied probability amid dry northwesterly winds limiting extreme heat. Recent observations show daytime highs stabilizing in the low 30s°C over the past week, with no heatwave declaration for Uttar Pradesh despite broader regional warming. Model ensembles from GFS and ECMWF exhibit slight divergence—some runs capping at 32°C due to potential afternoon haze or shear—explaining the razor-thin edge over 32°C or below (31.5%). Historical March norms average 32–33°C, underscoring tight uncertainty; official airport readings will resolve the market by day's end.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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