Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 18°C (31.5%) and 19°C (27.0%) as the highest temperature at Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport on March 29, reflecting China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts and ECMWF/GFS ensemble means projecting a modest rebound from today's 16°C maximum under persistent Sichuan Basin cloudiness and light rain. Lingering low-pressure troughs have suppressed insolation and diurnal heating over the past week—17°C on March 27, cooler since—while weakening systems may permit partial afternoon clearing, but uncertain timing of convective showers introduces the ±1–2°C spread differentiating 17–19°C outcomes, with cloud cover and evaporative cooling as key variables. Historical late-March highs average 19°C; updated model runs expected overnight could sharpen probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Chongqing on March 29?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on March 29?
18°C 32%
19°C 27%
17°C 21.1%
20°C 11%
$40,646 Vol.
$40,646 Vol.
15°C
2%
16°C
5%
17°C
21%
18°C
32%
19°C
27%
20°C
11%
21°C
3%
22°C
2%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
<1%
18°C 32%
19°C 27%
17°C 21.1%
20°C 11%
$40,646 Vol.
$40,646 Vol.
15°C
2%
16°C
5%
17°C
21%
18°C
32%
19°C
27%
20°C
11%
21°C
3%
22°C
2%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 25, 2026, 6:42 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 18°C (31.5%) and 19°C (27.0%) as the highest temperature at Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport on March 29, reflecting China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts and ECMWF/GFS ensemble means projecting a modest rebound from today's 16°C maximum under persistent Sichuan Basin cloudiness and light rain. Lingering low-pressure troughs have suppressed insolation and diurnal heating over the past week—17°C on March 27, cooler since—while weakening systems may permit partial afternoon clearing, but uncertain timing of convective showers introduces the ±1–2°C spread differentiating 17–19°C outcomes, with cloud cover and evaporative cooling as key variables. Historical late-March highs average 19°C; updated model runs expected overnight could sharpen probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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