Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's constitutional term extends until 2028 following his 2023 re-election, anchoring trader consensus at 89.5% for "No" on his departure by year-end, as no recent political crises, no-confidence votes, or snap elections threaten his position. In the past month, Erdoğan has remained active in diplomacy, delivering key speeches at the Antalya Diplomacy Forum on April 18 amid Iran tensions and issuing statements on regional conflicts, signaling robust health and leadership continuity despite occasional unverified rumors. Succession discussions within the AKP and opposition focus on 2028 rather than interim removal, with January's "year of reform" agenda reinforcing stability absent major scandals or institutional pressures.