Erdoğan's current presidential term under Turkey's constitution runs through 2028, with the next scheduled election no later than May 2028. Recent May 2026 appeals court rulings removed the Republican People's Party (CHP) leader and advanced legal proceedings against other opposition figures, further consolidating institutional control ahead of any potential contest. No snap election has been called despite economic pressures, and presidential statements indicate no imminent departure. These term limits, procedural barriers, and developments weakening organized opposition sustain the 92.5% implied probability on "No," though health developments or constitutional changes enabling early votes could still shift the outlook.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoErdoğan até 31 de dezembro de 2026?
Sim
$436,643 Vol.
$436,643 Vol.
Sim
$436,643 Vol.
$436,643 Vol.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Erdoğan's current presidential term under Turkey's constitution runs through 2028, with the next scheduled election no later than May 2028. Recent May 2026 appeals court rulings removed the Republican People's Party (CHP) leader and advanced legal proceedings against other opposition figures, further consolidating institutional control ahead of any potential contest. No snap election has been called despite economic pressures, and presidential statements indicate no imminent departure. These term limits, procedural barriers, and developments weakening organized opposition sustain the 92.5% implied probability on "No," though health developments or constitutional changes enabling early votes could still shift the outlook.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions