President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's constitutional term as Turkey's president extends until 2028, anchoring trader consensus at 83.5% against his departure by year-end amid no verified catalysts for early exit. Unconfirmed health rumors from January-February 2026, including alleged instability and postponed trips, have faded without official acknowledgment, countered by his active March schedule: speeches on Iran-Israel tensions, women's day events, and Rize province visits, plus recent infrastructure openings like 563 water facilities. AKP's parliamentary dominance blocks snap elections or no-confidence votes sought by opposition CHP via MP resignations. High barriers—impeachment thresholds, party loyalty—sustain stability unless scandals or crises emerge.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoErdoğan até 31 de dezembro de 2026?
Erdoğan até 31 de dezembro de 2026?
Sim
$322,639 Vol.
$322,639 Vol.
31 dez 2026
Ganhe 4%
Sim
$322,639 Vol.
$322,639 Vol.
31 dez 2026
Ganhe 4%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's constitutional term as Turkey's president extends until 2028, anchoring trader consensus at 83.5% against his departure by year-end amid no verified catalysts for early exit. Unconfirmed health rumors from January-February 2026, including alleged instability and postponed trips, have faded without official acknowledgment, countered by his active March schedule: speeches on Iran-Israel tensions, women's day events, and Rize province visits, plus recent infrastructure openings like 563 water facilities. AKP's parliamentary dominance blocks snap elections or no-confidence votes sought by opposition CHP via MP resignations. High barriers—impeachment thresholds, party loyalty—sustain stability unless scandals or crises emerge.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Volume
$322,639Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's constitutional term as Turkey's president extends until 2028, anchoring trader consensus at 83.5% against his departure by year-end amid no verified catalysts for early exit. Unconfirmed health rumors from January-February 2026, including alleged instability and postponed trips, have faded without official acknowledgment, countered by his active March schedule: speeches on Iran-Israel tensions, women's day events, and Rize province visits, plus recent infrastructure openings like 563 water facilities. AKP's parliamentary dominance blocks snap elections or no-confidence votes sought by opposition CHP via MP resignations. High barriers—impeachment thresholds, party loyalty—sustain stability unless scandals or crises emerge.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$322,639Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's constitutional term as Turkey's president extends until 2028, anchoring trader consensus at 83.5% against his departure by year-end amid no verified catalysts for early exit. Unconfirmed health rumors from January-February 2026, including alleged instability and postponed trips, have faded without official acknowledgment, countered by his active March schedule: speeches on Iran-Israel tensions, women's day events, and Rize province visits, plus recent infrastructure openings like 563 water facilities. AKP's parliamentary dominance blocks snap elections or no-confidence votes sought by opposition CHP via MP resignations. High barriers—impeachment thresholds, party loyalty—sustain stability unless scandals or crises emerge.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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