Market icon
Economia·Elon Musk

Patrimônio líquido de Elon Musk em 31 de março?

Market icon
Economia·Elon Musk

Patrimônio líquido de Elon Musk em 31 de março?

Mar 31

Mar 31

<640b 61%

640-650b 23%

650-660b 8%

710b+ 3.2%

Polymarket

$485,561 Vol.

<640b 61%

640-650b 23%

650-660b 8%

710b+ 3.2%

Polymarket

$485,561 Vol.

<640b

$66,626 Vol.

61%

640-650b

$33,625 Vol.

23%

650-660b

$34,866 Vol.

8%

660-670b

$47,195 Vol.

1%

670-680 bilhões

$25,340 Vol.

3%

680-690b

$24,362 Vol.

1%

690-700b

$25,156 Vol.

1%

700-710b

$24,023 Vol.

1%

710b+

$204,377 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve according to the value of Elon Musk's net worth on March 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for March 31, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an implied 60% probability for Elon Musk's net worth below $640 billion on March 31, reflecting Tesla's dominant weighting in his portfolio amid recent share price weakness. Tesla (TSLA) stock has retreated about 10% in the past two weeks after January delivery data showed modest year-over-year growth overshadowed by intensifying competition from BYD in China and softening U.S. EV demand, pressuring margins and Musk's ~20% effective stake valued near $200 billion at current ~$320/share levels. SpaceX's private valuation holds steady around $210 billion post-secondary share sale, while xAI's tender offer implies ~$50 billion, providing offsets but insufficient for higher bins. Key near-term catalyst: Tesla's Q1 production/delivery update due early April, which could shift pricing ahead of quarter-end.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an implied 60% probability for Elon Musk's net worth below $640 billion on March 31, reflecting Tesla's dominant weighting in his portfolio amid recent share price weakness. Tesla (TSLA) stock has retreated about 10% in the past two weeks after January delivery data showed modest year-over-year growth overshadowed by intensifying competition from BYD in China and softening U.S. EV demand, pressuring margins and Musk's ~20% effective stake valued near $200 billion at current ~$320/share levels. SpaceX's private valuation holds steady around $210 billion post-secondary share sale, while xAI's tender offer implies ~$50 billion, providing offsets but insufficient for higher bins. Key near-term catalyst: Tesla's Q1 production/delivery update due early April, which could shift pricing ahead of quarter-end.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
This market will resolve according to the value of Elon Musk's net worth on March 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for March 31, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an implied 60% probability for Elon Musk's net worth below $640 billion on March 31, reflecting Tesla's dominant weighting in his portfolio amid recent share price weakness. Tesla (TSLA) stock has retreated about 10% in the past two weeks after January delivery data showed modest year-over-year growth overshadowed by intensifying competition from BYD in China and softening U.S. EV demand, pressuring margins and Musk's ~20% effective stake valued near $200 billion at current ~$320/share levels. SpaceX's private valuation holds steady around $210 billion post-secondary share sale, while xAI's tender offer implies ~$50 billion, providing offsets but insufficient for higher bins. Key near-term catalyst: Tesla's Q1 production/delivery update due early April, which could shift pricing ahead of quarter-end.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an implied 60% probability for Elon Musk's net worth below $640 billion on March 31, reflecting Tesla's dominant weighting in his portfolio amid recent share price weakness. Tesla (TSLA) stock has retreated about 10% in the past two weeks after January delivery data showed modest year-over-year growth overshadowed by intensifying competition from BYD in China and softening U.S. EV demand, pressuring margins and Musk's ~20% effective stake valued near $200 billion at current ~$320/share levels. SpaceX's private valuation holds steady around $210 billion post-secondary share sale, while xAI's tender offer implies ~$50 billion, providing offsets but insufficient for higher bins. Key near-term catalyst: Tesla's Q1 production/delivery update due early April, which could shift pricing ahead of quarter-end.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Patrimônio líquido de Elon Musk em 31 de março?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "<640b" at 61%, followed by "640-650b" at 23%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 61¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 61% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Patrimônio líquido de Elon Musk em 31 de março?" has generated $485.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 26, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Patrimônio líquido de Elon Musk em 31 de março?," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Patrimônio líquido de Elon Musk em 31 de março?" is "<640b" at 61%, meaning the market assigns a 61% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "640-650b" at 23%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Patrimônio líquido de Elon Musk em 31 de março?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.